Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol prediction
Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol are playing on 06-Dec-21
Ethnikos Achnas
Apollon Limassol
DATE:
5 December 2021 at 20:00:00
TIME:
8:00 PM
COUNTRY:
Cyprus
LEAGUE
1st Division
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
65%
AVR. ODDS:
6.15
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
18%
AVR. ODDS:
3.96
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
16%
AVR. ODDS:
1.53
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Ethnikos Achnas and Apollon Limassol will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Ethnikos Achnas and Apollon Limassol have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 54.57% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.01% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 57.88% chance for a ng outcome.
This Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.881 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.16%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is 54.15%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.99%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.881 where 1.881 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol, EV(NG) to be 54.15% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 56.01. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.05% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.55% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.23% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.34 with an implied bookmaker probability of 74.63%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is 70.28%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.35%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.34 where 1.34 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Ethnikos Achnas vs Apollon Limassol, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 70.28% * 100 * 1.34, which translates to 64.44. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Share this page with your friends.
GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
59%
AVR. ODDS:
2.01
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
1.98
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.27
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
15%
AVR. ODDS:
3.47
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
66%
AVR. ODDS:
1.91
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
33%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
3.35
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ETHNIKOS ACHNAS VS APOLLON LIMASSOL PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
08-Sep-2021 - Radnicki Nis [1 : 2] TSC Backa Topola
03-Jul-2021 - Radnicki Nis [2 : 0] TSC Backa Topola
09-Dec-2020 - TSC Backa Topola [1 : 3] Radnicki Nis
19/06/20 - Radnicki Nis [3 : 1] TSC Backa Topola
11-Mar-2019 - TSC Backa Topola [2 : 0] Radnicki Nis
00-Jan-1900 - [ : ]
ETHNIKOS ACHNAS'S LAST 10 MATCHES
BACKA TOPOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Backa Topola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
TSC Backa Topola won against Kolubara (2-1) on 12-Jan-2021
Then Kolubara won against TSC Backa Topola (2-1) on 28/11/21
Radnik won against TSC Backa Topola (2-1) on 24/11/21
Not surprisingly TSC Backa Topola lost to Metalac (1-2) on 19/11/21
Novi Pazar drew with TSC Backa Topola (1-1) on 11-May-2021
Vozdovac Belgrade drew with TSC Backa Topola (1-1) on 31/10/21
Then Zlatibor lost to TSC Backa Topola (0-4) on 27/10/21
TSC Backa Topola lost to Partizan Belgrade (1-3) on 24/10/21
Proleter won against TSC Backa Topola (1-0) on 17/10/21
In the earliest match listed here TSC Backa Topola lost to Cukaricki (1-2) on 10-Feb-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
BACKA TOPOLA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Backa Topola's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Radnicki Nis won against Radnik (3-0) on 28/11/21
Then Napredak drew with Radnicki Nis (1-1) on 20/11/21
Radnicki Nis drew with Spartak (0-0) on 11-Jul-2021
Not surprisingly Radnicki Nis won against Radnicki Kragujevac (2-1) on 11-Mar-2021
Radnicki Nis won against Mladost Lucani (2-0) on 30/10/21
Radnicki Nis won against Dinamo Vranje (1-0) on 27/10/21
Then Crvena Zvezda won against Radnicki Nis (1-0) on 24/10/21
Vojvodina Novi Sad drew with Radnicki Nis (1-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Radnicki Nis drew with Metalac (1-1) on 30/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Kolubara lost to Radnicki Nis (2-3) on 25/09/21
ETHNIKOS ACHNAS POSITION
BACKA TOPOLA'S POSITION
TSC Backa Topola is in position 8 with 22 points from 18 matches. They are below Spartak who have 23 points and above Vozdovac Belgrade who have 22 points.
Backa Topola have scored 28 goals and conceded 27 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
APOLLON LIMASSOL POSITION
ETHNIKOS ACHNAS BEST PLAYERS
BACKA TOPOLA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Backa Topola's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Player - The National Player has scored Goals goals in Matches games and shot FG foul kicks. He has scored Penalties penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is G/M.
Djuro Zec - The Serbia National Djuro Zec has scored 6 goals in 12 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.
Sasa Tomanovic - The Serbia National Sasa Tomanovic has scored 5 goals in 13 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.38.
Stefan Vukic - The Serbia National Stefan Vukic has scored 4 goals in 10 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.
Mihajlo Banjac - The Serbia National Mihajlo Banjac has scored 3 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.23.
Nenad Lukic - The Serbia National Nenad Lukic has scored 1 goals in 2 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.
APOLLON LIMASSOL BEST PLAYERS
#REF!
UPGRADE
PRICING
See below what you get when you upgrade
PREMIUM TIPS
3USD
2.5 EUROS
KES 250
-
6 Professionally analysed tips
-
Between 20-50 odds per day
-
90% accuracy
-
No personalized Plan
-
Best for beginners
-
Guarantee to increase your initial stake 20X
-
Dedicated customer service
-
Subscription is active for 1 day
VIP TIPS
VIP TIPS
12 USD
KES 1000
10 EUROS
-
10 professionally analysed tips
-
Between 200-1000 odds per day
-
Near 100% accuracy
-
Get a VIP Personalized plan
-
Best for seasoned bettors with financial responsibilities
-
Guarantee to increase your initial stake 100X
-
Free betting tracker excel sheet
-
3 correct score tips + 3 GG/NG tips + 3 Hlf time tips + 3 Asian Handicap tips + 3 Euro handicap tips
-
Dedicated customer service
-
Subscription is active for 3 days
FIXED MATCHES
FIXED MATCHES
120 USD
KES 10,000
-
At least 15 fixed matches daily
-
Between 100-1000 odds per day
-
100% accuracy(fixed odds)
-
Special personalized plans for profit maximization
-
Best for those who do betting as their main jobs
-
Guarantee to increase your initial stake by 500X
-
Dedicated customer service
-
Free betting tracker exel sheet
-
Fixed matches are mostly in the form of 1X2 and correct scores
-
Free updates on odd fluctuations and live bet support
-
Subscription is active for 1 week
-
Phone and email notifications for fixed match alerts
-
After initial subscription, members can switch to a post-paid package
SURE TIPS TODAY
Find out the available sure tips for you today.
Below are links to help you navigate:
TALK TO SUREBET
Below are links to help you navigate on this website. In case you don't get what you wanted, contact us.