FREIBURG II vs BORUSSIA DORTMUND II OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Freiburg Ii vs Borussia Dortmund Ii OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Germany, 3rd Ligamatch on 13-Aug-2021
Freiburg Ii
DATE:
13 August 2021 at 20:00:00
Borussia Dortmund Ii
COUNTRY:
Germany
LEAGUE
3rd Liga
TIME:
8:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
2.93
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.03
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
2.54
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Freiburg Ii vs Borussia Dortmund Ii. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Freiburg Ii vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 78.64% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 72.44% chance for the same. Finally, 64.46% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.15686274509804 with an implied bookmaker probability of 86.44%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Freiburg Ii vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match is 71.85%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -14.59%.
The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Freiburg Ii vs Borussia Dortmund Ii match is 54.96 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.58
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
50%
2.23
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.53
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
53%
1.94
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
74%
AVR. ODDS:
1.45
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
FREIBURG II VS BORUSSIA DORTMUND II LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
FREIBURG II LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Freiburg Ii's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Magdeburg drew with Freiburg II (0-0) on 31/07/21
Then Freiburg II drew with Wiesbaden (0-0) on 26/07/21
Freiburg II won against Rot-Weiss Koblenz (2-0) on 06-Dec-2021
Not surprisingly Elversberg drew with Freiburg II (1-1) on 06-May-2021
Freiburg II lost to Homburg-Saar (0-1) on 29/05/21
Freiburg II won against Ulm (3-0) on 26/05/21
Then Hessen Kassel drew with Freiburg II (0-0) on 22/05/21
Freiburg II won against Stadtallendorf (5-1) on 16/05/21
Schott Mainz lost to Freiburg II (0-2) on 05-Aug-2021
In the earliest match listed here Freiburg II won against Stuttgart II (3-1) on 05-Apr-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Borussia Dortmund Ii's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dortmund II drew with Mannheim (1-1) on 31/07/21
Zwickau lost to Dortmund II (1-2) on 24/07/21
Then Wuppertal lost to Dortmund II (1-2) on 06-May-2021
Dortmund II won against Bergisch Gladbach (3-1) on 06-Jan-2021
Dortmund II drew with Homberg (2-2) on 29/05/21
Then Rodinghausen drew with Dortmund II (0-0) on 26/05/21
SV Straelen lost to Dortmund II (1-3) on 23/05/21
Dortmund II drew with Schalke 04 (3-3) on 24/04/21
Once more Oberhausen lost to Dortmund II (0-1) on 18/04/21
M'gladbach II lost to Dortmund II (1-4) on 04-Oct-2021
FREIBURG II'S POSITION
Freiburg II is in position 12 with 2 points from 2 matches. They are below Turkgucu Munich who have 2 points and above Wiesbaden who have 2 points.
have scored 0 goals and conceded 0 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.
BORUSSIA DORTMUND II'S POSITION
Dortmund II is in position 4 with 4 points from 2 matches. They are below Magdeburg who have 4 points and above Verl who have 4 points.
Borussia Dortmund Ii have scored 3 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 1 goals this season.
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