GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA VS UNION DE SUNCHALES SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Torneo Federal A, Group B match on 07-Jul-2021
Gimnasia Y Esgrima
DATE:
7 July 2021 at 21:00:00
Union De Sunchales
COUNTRY:
Argentina
LEAGUE
Torneo Federal A, Group B
TIME:
9:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
2.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
3.2
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
To find if the Under 2.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied UNDER 2.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.52 with an implied bookmaker probability of 65.79%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Under 2.5 outcome for this Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales match is 71.98%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 6.19%Expected Value, EV(UNDER 2.5), for a UNDER 2.5 result for this Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales match is calculated as follows:
Let P(UNDER 2.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(UNDER 2.5) * 100* 1.52 where 1.52 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a UNDER 2.5 for Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales, EV(UNDER 2.5) to be 71.98% * 100 * 1.52, which translates to 81.38. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
All assessed indicators for this Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales match show that not many goals will be scored in this game. 2 goals might even be on the higher side. An under 2.5 goals prediction is what you should really go with.
Learn how this under 2.5 goals tips form a basis for the best correct score predictions. It is very easy to win correct scores for any match with a verified under 2.5 goals tips.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a under 2.5 in this Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 80.88% probability for a UNDER 2.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 72.07% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 62.98% chance for a under 2.5 outcome.
This Gimnasia Y Esgrima vs Union De Sunchales match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
See all over 2.5 goals tips today.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.02
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
65%
1.71
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
2.76
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
2.38
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
72%
1.52
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
12%
AVR. ODDS:
4.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
88%
AVR. ODDS:
1.13
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA VS UNION DE SUNCHALES LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Curently no head to head
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Gimnasia Y Esgrima's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
B. Villa Ramallo won against Gimnasia Y Esgrima (2-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Gimnasia Y Esgrima lost to Pronunciamiento (0-1) on 27/06/21
Sportivo Belgrano drew with Gimnasia Y Esgrima (1-1) on 19/06/21
Not surprisingly Gimnasia Y Esgrima lost to Sarmiento de Resistencia (2-4) on 06-Jul-2021
Gimnasia Tiro won against Gimnasia Y Esgrima (2-0) on 16/05/21
Gimnasia Y Esgrima won against J.U. Gualeguaychu (2-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Then Boca Unidos won against Gimnasia Y Esgrima (1-0) on 05-Feb-2021
Gimnasia Y Esgrima won against Sportivo Las Parejas (1-0) on 25/04/21
Douglas Haig lost to Gimnasia Y Esgrima (0-1) on 18/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Crucero won against Gimnasia Y Esgrima (2-1) on 15/03/20
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Union De Sunchales's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
U. de Sunchales lost to Racing de Cordoba (1-2) on 07-Mar-2021
Chaco For Ever drew with U. de Sunchales (2-2) on 27/06/21
Then U. de Sunchales lost to Central Norte (0-1) on 20/06/21
Crucero lost to U. de Sunchales (0-2) on 06-Aug-2021
U. de Sunchales won against B. Villa Ramallo (1-0) on 05-Sep-2021
Then Pronunciamiento drew with U. de Sunchales (2-2) on 05-Feb-2021
U. de Sunchales lost to Sportivo Belgrano (0-2) on 26/04/21
Sarmiento de Resistencia drew with U. de Sunchales (0-0) on 19/04/21
Once more U. de Sunchales drew with Gimnasia Tiro (2-2) on 04-Nov-2021
U. de Sunchales drew with B. Villa Ramallo (1-1) on 27/12/20
GIMNASIA Y ESGRIMA'S POSITION
Gimnasia Y Esgrima is in position 9 with 10 points from 8 matches. They are below Sarmiento de Resistencia who have 12 points and above Crucero who have 8 points.
have scored 7 goals and conceded 10 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.
UNION DE SUNCHALES'S POSITION
No position Listed for this team.
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