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JAMMERBUGT FC vs HOBRO IK NG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Jammerbugt Fc vs Hobro Ik NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Denmark, 1st Divisionmatch on 18-Aug-2021

Jammerbugt Fc

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DATE:

18 August 2021 at 19:00:00

Hobro Ik

COUNTRY:

Denmark

LEAGUE

1st Division

TIME:

7:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

32%

AVR. ODDS:

2.42

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3.43

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

2.73

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Jammerbugt Fc and Hobro Ik might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). 


This is informed by the fact that both Jammerbugt Fc and Hobro Ik have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel.


See tickets:

GG/NG tips

Correct score tips

Fixed matches

1X2 sure bet predictions


All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Jammerbugt Fc vs Hobro Ik match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 59.87% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 59.88% chance for the same. 


Finally, 60.04% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.19 with an implied bookmaker probability of 45.66%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Jammerbugt Fc vs Hobro Ik match is 59.93%, then this bet is a value bet. 



If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 14.27%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Jammerbugt Fc vs Hobro Ik match is 91.17 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

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JAMMERBUGT FC vs HOBRO IK NG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.61

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

60%

2.19

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.13

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

3.62

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

33%

AVR. ODDS:

1.73

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

67%

1.99

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

14%

AVR. ODDS:

3.04

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

86%

AVR. ODDS:

1.49

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

JAMMERBUGT FC VS HOBRO IK LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Hobro and Jammerbugt have met 6 times recently since 08-Aug-2008. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Hobro vs Jammerbugt prediction.
05-May-2012 - Hobro [3 : 1] Jammerbugt
25/09/11 - Jammerbugt [1 : 1] Hobro
04-May-2010 - Jammerbugt [0 : 1] Hobro
21/08/09 - Hobro [2 : 1] Jammerbugt
18/04/09 - Jammerbugt [0 : 1] Hobro
08-Aug-2008 - Hobro [1 : 1] Jammerbugt

JAMMERBUGT FC LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Jammerbugt Fc's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fremad Amager lost to Jammerbugt (1-2) on 14/08/21
Then Jammerbugt lost to Fredericia (0-3) on 08-Jul-2021
Aabyhoj lost to Jammerbugt (0-2) on 08-Mar-2021
Not surprisingly Jammerbugt lost to Lyngby (1-2) on 30/07/21
Hvidovre drew with Jammerbugt (1-1) on 24/07/21
Kolding IF won against Jammerbugt (3-2) on 07-Feb-2021
Then Holbaek lost to Jammerbugt (1-3) on 06-May-2021
Jammerbugt drew with Brabrand (0-0) on 28/05/21
Jammerbugt won against Sydvest 05 (1-0) on 22/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Naesby lost to Jammerbugt (0-1) on 15/05/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Hobro Ik's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hobro lost to Lyngby (1-4) on 14/08/21
HB Koege drew with Hobro (1-1) on 08-Aug-2021
Then Brabrand won against Hobro (4-3) on 08-Mar-2021
Hobro drew with Vendsyssel (1-1) on 30/07/21
Fredericia won against Hobro (2-0) on 23/07/21
Then Hobro won against Aarhus Fremad (2-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Hobro won against Aalborg (1-0) on 24/06/21
Hvidovre won against Hobro (4-0) on 27/05/21
Once more Hobro lost to Vendsyssel (0-2) on 23/05/21
Kolding IF drew with Hobro (0-0) on 14/05/21

JAMMERBUGT FC'S POSITION

Jammerbugt is in position 7 with 4 points from 4 matches. They are below HB Koege who have 4 points and above Vendsyssel who have 3 points.
have scored 4 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -3 goals this season.

HOBRO IK'S POSITION

Hobro is in position 10 with 2 points from 4 matches. They are below who have points and above Esbjerg who have 2 points.
Hobro Ik have scored 3 goals and conceded 8 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -5 goals this season.

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