Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie Prediction
Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie are playing in Poland.
Skra Czestochowa
DATE:
7 March 2022 at 20:00:00
Podbeskidzie Bie
COUNTRY:
Poland
LEAGUE
I Liga
TIME:
8:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
15%
AVR. ODDS:
4.2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
61%
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
GG TIPS FOR THIS GAME
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Also check out the correct score prediction for this game.
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Both Skra Czestochowa and Podbeskidzie Bie have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 73.58% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 67.01% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 58.29% chance for a gg outcome. This Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.73 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.80%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match is 66.29%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.49%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.73 where 1.73 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie, EV(GG) to be 66.29% * 100 * 1.73, which translates to 80.97. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie.
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The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 89.66% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 85.28% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 78.26% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match is 84.40%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.19%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.24 where 1.24 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Skra Czestochowa vs Podbeskidzie Bie, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 84.40% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 89.62. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
43%
AVR. ODDS:
2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
56%
1.7
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.4
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.9
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
2.2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
53%
1.7
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.8
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.3
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA VS PODBESKIDZIE BIE PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA VS PODBESKIDZIE BIE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Bielsko-Bia?a and Czestochowa have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Bielsko-Bia?a vs Czestochowa prediction.
23/08/21 - Bielsko-Bia?a [1 : 0] Czestochowa
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Skra Czestochowa's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Czestochowa lost to Legnica (0-2) on 28/02/22
Then Opole won against Czestochowa (3-2) on 02-Dec-2022
Czestochowa won against Belchatow (2-1) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Czestochowa won against Stal Stalowa Wola (2-1) on 29/01/22
Korona Kielce won against Czestochowa (1-0) on 26/01/22
Czestochowa lost to Garbarnia Krakow (1-5) on 22/01/22
Then Polonia Bytom lost to Czestochowa (2-3) on 15/01/22
Czestochowa lost to Resovia (0-1) on 12-Apr-2021
Czestochowa drew with Lodz (0-0) on 26/11/21
In the earliest match listed here Czestochowa lost to Korona Kielce (1-4) on 20/11/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Skra Czestochowa's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Tychy drew with Bielsko-Bia?a (0-0) on 27/02/22
Then Gorica drew with Bielsko-Bia?a (3-3) on 18/02/22
Bielsko-Bia?a drew with Triglav Kranj (1-1) on 16/02/22
Not surprisingly Gornik Zabrze drew with Bielsko-Bia?a (1-1) on 29/01/22
Bielsko-Bia?a drew with Katowice (2-2) on 26/01/22
Ruzomberok won against Bielsko-Bia?a (2-1) on 21/01/22
Then Bielsko-Bia?a lost to Katowice (1-2) on 12-Apr-2021
Opole drew with Bielsko-Bia?a (1-1) on 26/11/21
Bielsko-Bia?a won against Polkowice (4-0) on 20/11/21
In the earliest match listed here Bielsko-Bia?a won against Widzew Lodz (4-0) on 13/11/21
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA POSITION
SKRA CZESTOCHOWA'S POSITION
Czestochowa is in position 13 with 27 points from 21 matches. They are below Katowice who have 27 points and above Sosnowiec who have 22 points.
Skra Czestochowa have scored 13 goals and conceded 21 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -8 goals this season.
PODBESKIDZIE BIE POSITION
PODBESKIDZIE BIE'S POSITION
Bielsko-Bia?a is in position 4 with 33 points from 21 matches. They are below Korona Kielce who have 37 points and above Arka Gdynia who have 32 points.
Podbeskidzie Bie have scored 35 goals and conceded 24 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 11 goals this season.
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