HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor match, we are well convinced that Trabzonspor is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Kayserispor. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.55 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.52%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor match is 59.72%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.80%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.55 where 1.55 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor, EV(Home Win) to be 59.72% * 100 * 1.55, which translates to 52.27. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.08666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.02%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor match is 75.37%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -16.65%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.08666666666667 where 1.08666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 75.37% * 100 * 1.08, which translates to 57.27. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.