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Burton vs Notts County Prediction

Burton vs Notts County Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Burton vs Notts County are playing on 24-Sep-24.

Burton

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DATE:

Notts County

COUNTRY:

�England

LEAGUE

Football League Trophy, Southern Group F

TIME:

21:00�

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

15%

AVR. ODDS:

2.2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

21%

AVR. ODDS:

3.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

63%

AVR. ODDS:

2.75

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

In the correct score predition for Burton vs Notts County we shall use the elimination method for correct scores. First off, the Poisson prediction model has shown that there is a 51.47% chance for a ng in this match. We therefore eliminate a good number of correct scores that does not reflect a ng for Burton vs Notts County.

Remaining correct scores after the intial elimination include 0-0, 0:1, 0:2, 0:3, 0:4, 0:5, 0:6, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 4-0, 5-0, and 6-0.

Since a No-Goal outcome is already predicted in this game, we consider the 1X2 market where Notts County is expected to triumph over Burton. This eliminates a good number of correct scores to remain with 0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 0-4, 0-5 and 0-6

NG ,Away Win, OVER 1.5 are the anchor predictions for Burton vs Notts County correct score prediction. The correct score outcomes that fit into this criteria are 0-2, 0-3, 0-4, 0-5, 0-6.

EXPECTED VALUES OF THESE CORRECT SCORE TIPS:

  1. EV(0-2): 4.65
  2. EV(0-3): -65.24
  3. EV(0-4): -77.69
  4. EV(0-5): -88.89
  5. EV(0-6): -97.16

From the above we deduce that 0-2 has the highest EV or expected value of 4.65. This means you are most likely to benefit mathemetically if you bet on this bet. 0-2 is therefore the best correct score prediction for Burton vs Notts County.

In the correct score predition for Burton vs Notts County we shall use the elimination method for correct scores. First off, the Poisson prediction model has shown that there is a 51.47% chance for a ng in this match. We therefore eliminate a good number of correct scores that does not reflect a ng for Burton vs Notts County.

Remaining correct scores after the intial elimination include 0-0, 0:1, 0:2, 0:3, 0:4, 0:5, 0:6, 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 4-0, 5-0, and 6-0.

Since a No-Goal outcome is already predicted in this game, we consider the 1X2 market where Notts County is expected to triumph over Burton. This eliminates a good number of correct scores to remain with 0-1, 0-2, 0-3, 0-4, 0-5 and 0-6

NG ,Away Win, UNDER 2.5 are the anchor predictions for Burton vs Notts County correct score prediction. The correct score outcomes that fit into this criteria are 0-1, 0-2.

EXPECTED VALUES OF THESE CORRECT SCORE TIPS:

  1. EV(0-1): -47.29
  2. EV(0-2): 4.65

From the above we deduce that 0-2 has the highest EV or expected value of 4.65. This means you are most likely to benefit mathemetically if you bet on this bet. 0-2 is therefore the best correct score prediction for Burton vs Notts County.

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Burton vs Notts County Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.54

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

54%

2.21

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

50%

AVR. ODDS:

1.66

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

49%

2.09

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

2.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BURTON VS NOTTS COUNTY PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Notts County [1:0] Burton
Burton [1:4] Notts County
Notts County [1:1] Burton

BURTON'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Burton's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Burton - Barnsley [1:2]
Rotherham - Burton [2:2]
Northampton - Burton [0:0]
Burton - Stevenage [0:0]
Burton - Leicester City [3:1]
Mansfield - Burton [3:3]
Burton - Blackpool [0:4]
Burton - Lincoln [2:3]
Fleetwood - Burton [3:0]
Burton - Reading [3:2]
Burton - Cheltenham [1:2]
Stevenage - Burton [1:2]
Burton - Oxford [0:4]
Burton - Barnsley [1:3]
Wigan - Burton [1:1]
Burton - Port Vale [0:1]
Exeter - Burton [1:0]
Portsmouth - Burton [2:1]
Burton - Peterborough [1:3]
Cheltenham - Burton [0:0]
Burton - Carlisle [0:1]
Burton - Northampton [0:2]
Leyton Orient - Burton [1:2]
Bristol Rovers - Burton [1:2]
Burton - Lincoln [0:1]
Cambridge - Burton [0:0]
Burton - Charlton [2:0]
Derby County - Burton [3:2]
Blackpool - Burton [2:1]
Burton - Wycombe [1:1]

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Notts County's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Notts County - Gillingham [0:1]
Bromley - Notts County [2:4]
Notts County - Accrington [2:0]
Swindon - Notts County [1:2]
Notts County - Grimsby [4:1]
Notts County - Fleetwood [2:2]
Shrewsbury - Notts County [4:3]
Tranmere - Notts County [0:0]
Peterborough - Notts County [4:3]
Peterborough - Notts County [1:0]
Boston - Notts County [2:1]
York - Notts County [2:2]
Wealdstone - Notts County [1:2]
Alfreton - Notts County [2:2]
Eastwood Community FC - Notts County [4:0]
Forest Green - Notts County [1:0]
Notts County - Colchester [1:0]
Notts County - Stockport [2:5]
Walsall - Notts County [1:3]
Notts County - Harrogate [3:0]
Notts County - Milton Keynes [3:3]
Swindon - Notts County [2:1]
Notts County - Salford [1:2]
Bradford - Notts County [0:3]
Accrington - Notts County [2:2]
Crawley - Notts County [2:1]
Notts County - Wimbledon [0:2]
Notts County - Sutton United [3:4]
Notts County - Crewe [1:3]
Wrexham - Notts County [1:0]

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