Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki prediction
Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki are playing on Finland
Hifk
DATE:
15 February 2022 at 14:00:00
Hjk Helsinki
1X2 PREDICTION
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match, we are well convinced that Hifk is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Hjk Helsinki. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 68.16% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.95% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 41.06% chance for a home win outcome.
This Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.56 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.10%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is 54.72%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -9.38%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.56 where 1.56 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki, EV(Home Win) to be 54.72% * 100 * 1.56, which translates to 40.09. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Hifk and Hjk Helsinki will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Hifk and Hjk Helsinki have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 61.44% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 54.24% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.45% chance for a ng outcome.
This Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.69 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.17%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is 55.71%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.46%.
Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.69 where 1.69 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki, EV(NG) to be 55.71% * 100 * 1.69, which translates to 49.86. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 70.92% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.08% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 69.07% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.32 with an implied bookmaker probability of 75.76%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is 70.03%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -5.73%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.32 where 1.32 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Hifk vs Hjk Helsinki, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 70.03% * 100 * 1.32, which translates to 62.46. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
HIFK VS HJK HELSINKI PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
HIFK VS HJK HELSINKI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Hjk and Hifk have met 6 times recently since 18/10/20. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Hjk vs Hifk prediction.
27/10/21 - HJK [1 : 0] HIFK
22/09/21 - HJK [0 : 2] HIFK
30/06/21 - HIFK [0 : 1] HJK
04-Mar-2021 - HIFK [0 : 3] HJK
13/02/21 - HJK [2 : 1] HIFK
18/10/20 - HJK [3 : 0] HIFK
HIFK'S LAST 10 MATCHES
HIFK LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Hifk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Turku lost to HIFK (0-1) on 28/01/22
Then HIFK lost to Ilves (0-3) on 31/10/21
HJK won against HIFK (1-0) on 27/10/21
Not surprisingly Kuopion Palloseura drew with HIFK (0-0) on 23/10/21
HIFK drew with Seinajoen (2-2) on 16/10/21
Turku won against HIFK (2-0) on 10-Mar-2021
Then Valkeakoski won against HIFK (2-0) on 30/09/21
Kuopion Palloseura drew with HIFK (0-0) on 26/09/21
HJK lost to HIFK (0-2) on 22/09/21
In the earliest match listed here HIFK lost to Mariehamn (0-3) on 18/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
HIFK LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Hifk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nomme drew with HJK (1-1) on 02-Nov-2022
Then HJK lost to Mariehamn (2-3) on 02-May-2022
HJK lost to Rigas Futbola (0-2) on 29/01/22
Not surprisingly LASK won against HJK (3-0) on 12-Sep-2021
HJK won against Alashkert Yerevan (1-0) on 25/11/21
Maccabi Tel Aviv won against HJK (3-0) on 11-Apr-2021
Then Kuopion Palloseura drew with HJK (1-1) on 31/10/21
HJK won against HIFK (1-0) on 27/10/21
HJK won against Turku (2-1) on 24/10/21
In the earliest match listed here HJK lost to Maccabi Tel Aviv (0-5) on 21/10/21
HIFK POSITION
HJK HELSINKI POSITION
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