HOME WIN TIPS




DRAW TIPS




AWAY WIN TIPS
Rosenborg is expected to outperform Valerenga in this match. Home advantage may not help Valerenga in this game. With odds of 2.01 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 36.57% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.40% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 59.31% chance for a away win outcome.

This Valerenga vs Rosenborg match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.01 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.75%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match is 48.76%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -0.99%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.01 where 2.01 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Valerenga vs Rosenborg, EV(Away Win) to be 48.76% * 100 * 2.01, which translates to 46.76. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
GG TIPS




NG TIPS




OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Valerenga vs Rosenborg. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match.

The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.02% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 79.89% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 87.44% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Valerenga vs Rosenborg match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.43333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.77%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match is 77.11%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.35%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Valerenga vs Rosenborg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.43333333333333 where 1.43333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Valerenga vs Rosenborg, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 77.11% * 100 * 1.43, which translates to 87.64. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.