Paeek is expected to outperform Ael Limassol in this match. Home advantage may not help Ael Limassol in this game. With odds of 3.07 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.

If recent outcomes for matches played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Ael Limassol and Paeek have no chance scoring each other.

This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Ael Limassol vs Paeek match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 66.41% probability for a NG outcome.

The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.88% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 65.60% chance for a ng outcome. This Ael Limassol vs Paeek match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

Also check out the correct score prediction for this game.

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To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.77 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.50%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Ael Limassol vs Paeek match is 65.96%, meaning this bet is a value bet.

In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.46%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Ael Limassol vs Paeek match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.

Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.77 where 1.77 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Ael Limassol vs Paeek, EV(NG) to be 65.96% * 100 * 1.77, which translates to 82.71. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. 

OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Ael Limassol vs Paeek. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.49 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.96%. 

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Ael Limassol vs Paeek match is 53.38%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -13.58%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Ael Limassol vs Paeek match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.

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Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.49 where 1.49 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Ael Limassol vs Paeek, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 53.38% * 100 * 1.49, which translates to 33.1. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.