HOME WIN TIPS

To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.

The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.04 with an implied bookmaker probability of 49.02%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is 50.50%, meaning this bet is a value bet.

In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 1.48%.. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is calculated as follows:

Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.04 where 2.04 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc, EV(Home Win) to be 50.50% * 100 * 2.04, which translates to 53.5. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS

Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.86% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 77.54% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 87.87% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.

This Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.

To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.42 with an implied bookmaker probability of 70.09%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is 74.09%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.00%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc match is calculated as follows:

Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.42 where 1.42 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Barcelona Sc vs Cumbaya Fc, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 74.09% * 100 * 1.42, which translates to 79.79. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.