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BRENTFORD vs ARSENAL GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Brentford vs Arsenal GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this England, Premier Leaguematch on 13-Aug-2021

Brentford

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DATE:

13 August 2021 at 22:00:00

Arsenal

COUNTRY:

England

LEAGUE

Premier League

TIME:

10:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

3.88

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.59

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

29%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). 



Both Brentford and Arsenal have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Brentford vs Arsenal match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 65.58% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 62.04% chance for the same. Finally, 54.35% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game. The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.72 with an implied bookmaker probability of 58.14%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Brentford vs Arsenal match is 60.66%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 2.52%.


The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Brentford vs Arsenal match is 64.98 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

BRENTFORD vs ARSENAL GG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.72

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

39%

2

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

39%

1.93

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

3.12

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BRENTFORD VS ARSENAL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

BRENTFORD LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Brentford's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Brentford won against Valencia (2-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Brentford lost to West Ham (0-1) on 31/07/21
Man Utd drew with Brentford (2-2) on 28/07/21
Not surprisingly Boreham lost to Brentford (0-2) on 20/07/21
Brentford won against Swansea (2-0) on 29/05/21
Brentford won against Bournemouth (3-1) on 22/05/21
Then Bournemouth won against Brentford (1-0) on 17/05/21
Bristol City lost to Brentford (1-3) on 05-Aug-2021
Brentford won against Watford (2-0) on 05-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Brentford won against Rotherham (1-0) on 27/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Arsenal's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Tottenham won against Arsenal (1-0) on 08-Aug-2021
Arsenal lost to Chelsea (1-2) on 08-Jan-2021
Then Rangers drew with Arsenal (2-2) on 17/07/21
Hibernian won against Arsenal (2-1) on 13/07/21
Arsenal won against Brighton (2-0) on 23/05/21
Then Crystal Palace lost to Arsenal (1-3) on 19/05/21
Chelsea lost to Arsenal (0-1) on 05-Dec-2021
Arsenal won against West Bromwich (3-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Once more Arsenal drew with Villarreal (0-0) on 05-Jun-2021
Newcastle lost to Arsenal (0-2) on 05-Feb-2021

BRENTFORD'S POSITION

No position listed

ARSENAL'S POSITION

No position listed

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