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Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk Prediction

Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk are playing in Russia.

Fc Rotor Volgograd

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DATE:

7 March 2022 at 14:00:00

Tom Tomsk

COUNTRY:

Russia

LEAGUE

1st Division

TIME:

2:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

3.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

37%

AVR. ODDS:

3.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

After analysis of all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk match, we are well convinced that Fc Rotor Volgograd is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Tom Tomsk.


The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.


We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 46.33% probability for a Home Win outcome.


The ELO Ratings model came through with a 44.74% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 42.89% chance for a home win outcome.


This Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.


The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.68 with an implied bookmaker probability of 37.31%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk match is 44.65%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.34%.


Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.


Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.68 where 2.68 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk, EV(Home Win) to be 44.65% * 100 * 2.68, which translates to 64.32. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. 

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Fc Rotor Volgograd vs Tom Tomsk Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.9

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

31%

1.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.4

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

13%

AVR. ODDS:

3.8

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

68%

AVR. ODDS:

2.1

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

31%

1.6

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

3.6

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD VS TOM TOMSK PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD VS TOM TOMSK LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Tomsk and Volgograd have met 6 times recently since 05-Jun-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Tomsk vs Volgograd prediction.
29/08/21 - Tomsk [1 : 1] Volgograd
23/11/19 - Volgograd [2 : 0] Tomsk
08-Oct-2019 - Tomsk [0 : 1] Volgograd
18/11/18 - Volgograd [0 : 0] Tomsk
29/07/18 - Tomsk [2 : 0] Volgograd
05-Jun-2018 - Tomsk [1 : 0] Volgograd

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD'S LAST 10 MATCHES

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Fc Rotor Volgograd's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Rubin Kazan won against Volgograd (2-1) on 03-Mar-2022
Then Volgograd lost to Voronezh (1-2) on 27/11/21
Kaliningrad won against Volgograd (2-1) on 21/11/21
Not surprisingly Volgograd lost to Metallurg Lipetsk (0-1) on 17/11/21
Volgar Astrakhan won against Volgograd (2-0) on 13/11/21
Khabarovsk won against Volgograd (3-1) on 11-Jun-2021
Then Dolgoprudny drew with Volgograd (2-2) on 31/10/21
Volgograd won against Akhmat Grozny (4-2) on 27/10/21
Volgograd drew with FC Alania Vladikavkaz (0-0) on 23/10/21
In the earliest match listed here Spartak 2 drew with Volgograd (1-1) on 17/10/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Fc Rotor Volgograd's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sochi won against Tomsk (4-0) on 20/01/22
Then Tomsk drew with Nizhnekamsk (1-1) on 27/11/21
Akron Tolyatti drew with Tomsk (3-3) on 21/11/21
Not surprisingly Orenburg won against Tomsk (2-1) on 17/11/21
Tomsk won against Veles (1-0) on 13/11/21
Tomsk drew with Voronezh (2-2) on 11-Jun-2021
Then Kaliningrad won against Tomsk (4-0) on 31/10/21
Tomsk won against Volgar Astrakhan (2-1) on 23/10/21
Tomsk won against Khabarovsk (1-0) on 17/10/21
In the earliest match listed here Tomsk drew with Dolgoprudny (1-1) on 13/10/21

FC ROTOR VOLGOGRAD POSITION

TOM TOMSK POSITION

NEWCASTLE JETS W'S POSITION
Newcastle Jets is in position 8 with 10 points from 13 matches. They are below Canberra United FC who have 12 points and above Western Sydney who have 7 points.
Newcastle Jets W have scored 15 goals and conceded 26 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -11 goals this season.

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