Union Espanola vs Union La Calera Prediction
Union Espanola vs Union La Calera Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Union Espanola vs Union La Calera are playing on Chile
Union Espanola
DATE:
30 May 2022 at 03:00:00
Union La Calera
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
3:00 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
2.1
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.07
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
AWAY WIN TIPS
Union La Calera is expected to outperform Union Espanola in this match. Home advantage may not help Union Espanola in this game. With odds of 1.81 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.
Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 36.51% probability for a Away Win outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 53.35% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.82% chance for a away win outcome. This Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.81 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.25%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is 51.56%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -3.69%.
Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 1.81 where 1.81 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera, EV(Away Win) to be 51.56% * 100 * 1.81, which translates to 44.88. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. GG TIPS NG TIPS OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match.
Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 52.55% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.06% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 80.78% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.33 with an implied bookmaker probability of 75.00%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is 67.80%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -7.20%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Union Espanola vs Union La Calera match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.33 where 1.33 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Union Espanola vs Union La Calera, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 67.80% * 100 * 1.33, which translates to 58.18. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
48%
AVR. ODDS:
1.62
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
52%
2.16
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
3.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.74
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
56%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
UNION ESPANOLA VS UNION LA CALERA PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
SPORT HUANCAYO VS ALIANZA ATLETICO LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Alianza Atletico and Huancayo have met 6 times recently since 24/07/16. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Alianza Atletico vs Huancayo prediction.
24/07/21 - Alianza Atletico [1 : 0] Huancayo
10-Feb-2017 - Huancayo [1 : 1] Alianza Atletico
07-Feb-2017 - Alianza Atletico [1 : 3] Huancayo
23/10/16 - Huancayo [3 : 1] Alianza Atletico
29/08/16 - Alianza Atletico [3 : 1] Huancayo
24/07/16 - Alianza Atletico [0 : 0] Huancayo
UNION ESPANOLA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
SPORT HUANCAYO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sport Huancayo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Binacio won against Huancayo (1-0) on 23/05/22
Then Huancayo drew with Cienciano (3-3) on 16/05/22
Deportivo Municipal lost to Huancayo (0-1) on 05-Aug-2022
Not surprisingly Huancayo drew with U. Cesar Vallejo (1-1) on 05-Feb-2022
San Martin drew with Huancayo (1-1) on 24/04/22
Huancayo won against Carlos Stein (2-1) on 17/04/22
Then Cantolao lost to Huancayo (0-2) on 04-Sep-2022
Cajamarca lost to Huancayo (3-4) on 21/03/22
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma won against Huancayo (1-0) on 13/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Mannucci lost to Huancayo (0-1) on 27/02/22
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
SPORT HUANCAYO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Sport Huancayo's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Atletico Grau lost to Alianza Atletico (1-2) on 22/05/22
Then Alianza Atletico lost to Sport Boys (1-2) on 15/05/22
Universitario won against Alianza Atletico (3-1) on 05-Jul-2022
Not surprisingly Alianza Atletico won against Ayacucho (2-1) on 05-Jan-2022
Asociacion Deportiva Tarma lost to Alianza Atletico (1-2) on 24/04/22
Alianza Atletico won against Binacio (2-0) on 15/04/22
Then Cienciano won against Alianza Atletico (5-0) on 04-Oct-2022
Alianza Atletico drew with Deportivo Municipal (2-2) on 04-Feb-2022
U. Cesar Vallejo won against Alianza Atletico (3-1) on 20/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Alianza Atletico won against San Martin (3-1) on 03-Dec-2022
UNION ESPANOLA POSITION
SPORT HUANCAYO'S POSITION
Huancayo is in position 3 with 27 points from 13 matches. They are below Alianza Atletico who have 28 points and above Alianza who have 26 points.
Sport Huancayo have scored 23 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 9 goals this season.
UNION LA CALERA POSITION
ALIANZA ATLETICO'S POSITION
Alianza Atletico is in position 2 with 28 points from 14 matches. They are below Melgar who have 31 points and above Huancayo who have 27 points.
Alianza Atletico have scored 25 goals and conceded 22 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
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