Weymouth vs Eastleigh prediction
Weymouth vs Eastleigh predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Weymouth vs Eastleigh are playing on England
Weymouth
DATE:
14 February 2022 at 22:45:00
Eastleigh
1X2 PREDICTION
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match, we are well convinced that Weymouth is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Eastleigh. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 48.90% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 45.70% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 42.78% chance for a home win outcome.
This Weymouth vs Eastleigh match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.54 with an implied bookmaker probability of 64.94%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is 45.80%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -19.14%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.54 where 1.54 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Weymouth vs Eastleigh, EV(Home Win) to be 45.80% * 100 * 1.54, which translates to 16.32. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Weymouth and Eastleigh have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 56.92% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 63.54% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 68.89% chance for a gg outcome.
This Weymouth vs Eastleigh match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.86 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.76%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is 63.12%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.36%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.86 where 1.86 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Weymouth vs Eastleigh, EV(GG) to be 63.12% * 100 * 1.86, which translates to 80.52. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Weymouth vs Eastleigh. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 78.29% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 83.10% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 86.73% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Weymouth vs Eastleigh match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.18 with an implied bookmaker probability of 84.75%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is 82.70%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -2.04%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Weymouth vs Eastleigh match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.18 where 1.18 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Weymouth vs Eastleigh, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 82.70% * 100 * 1.18, which translates to 80.29. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
WEYMOUTH VS EASTLEIGH PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
WEYMOUTH VS EASTLEIGH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Eastleigh and Weymouth have met 6 times recently since 14/01/06. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Eastleigh vs Weymouth prediction.
01-Feb-2022 - Eastleigh [3 : 2] Weymouth
01-Feb-2021 - Weymouth [1 : 1] Eastleigh
26/12/20 - Eastleigh [0 : 0] Weymouth
02-Feb-2010 - Eastleigh [4 : 0] Weymouth
08-Nov-2009 - Weymouth [0 : 5] Eastleigh
14/01/06 - Weymouth [2 : 0] Eastleigh
WEYMOUTH'S LAST 10 MATCHES
WEYMOUTH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Weymouth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Weymouth drew with Chesterfield (1-1) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Kings Lynn won against Weymouth (3-0) on 02-May-2022
Yeovil drew with Weymouth (1-1) on 02-Jan-2022
Not surprisingly Weymouth lost to Aldershot (0-1) on 29/01/22
Weymouth lost to Dagenham (1-2) on 25/01/22
Boreham drew with Weymouth (1-1) on 22/01/22
Then Dartford won against Weymouth (1-0) on 15/01/22
Weymouth lost to Southend (0-1) on 01-Aug-2022
Eastleigh won against Weymouth (3-2) on 01-Feb-2022
In the earliest match listed here Hungerford lost to Weymouth (0-1) on 18/12/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
WEYMOUTH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Weymouth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Eastleigh drew with Yeovil (0-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Maidenhead drew with Eastleigh (2-2) on 02-May-2022
Eastleigh lost to Chesterfield (0-1) on 29/01/22
Not surprisingly Dover Athletic won against Eastleigh (1-0) on 25/01/22
Stockport won against Eastleigh (3-0) on 18/01/22
Notts County won against Eastleigh (2-1) on 15/01/22
Then Halifax Town won against Eastleigh (4-0) on 01-Aug-2022
Eastleigh won against Weymouth (3-2) on 01-Feb-2022
Eastleigh won against Torquay (2-1) on 28/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Eastleigh won against Enfield (5-0) on 18/12/21
WEYMOUTH POSITION
WEYMOUTH'S POSITION
Weymouth is in position 21 with 18 points from 27 matches. They are below Maidenhead who have 27 points and above Kings Lynn who have 15 points.
Weymouth have scored 27 goals and conceded 51 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -24 goals this season.
EASTLEIGH POSITION
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