9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv Prediction
9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv are playing on �Ecuador
9 De Octubre Fc
Independiente Dv prediction
DATE:
30 May 2022 at 03:00:00
TIME:
3:00 AM
COUNTRY:
Ecuador
LEAGUE
Serie A, Primera
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
4.26
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.52
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
52%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
HOME WIN TIPS
DRAW TIPS
AWAY WIN TIPS
GG TIPS
NG TIPS
9 De Octubre Fc and Independiente Dv will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both 9 De Octubre Fc and Independiente Dv have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 78.11% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 61.29% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 50.02% chance for a ng outcome.
This 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.79 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.87%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv match is 63.14%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 7.27%.
Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.79 where 1.79 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for 9 De Octubre Fc vs Independiente Dv, EV(NG) to be 63.14% * 100 * 1.79, which translates to 76.16. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
44%
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.33
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
32%
AVR. ODDS:
3.64
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
43%
AVR. ODDS:
2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
56%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.51
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
9 DE OCTUBRE FC VS INDEPENDIENTE DV PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
ATLETICO MINEIRO VS AVAI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Avai and Atletico Mineiro have met 6 times recently since 06-Apr-2015. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Avai vs Atletico Mineiro prediction.
24/09/19 - Avai [1 : 0] Atletico Mineiro
28/04/19 - Atletico Mineiro [2 : 1] Avai
17/09/17 - Avai [1 : 1] Atletico Mineiro
06-Aug-2017 - Atletico Mineiro [1 : 0] Avai
09-Oct-2015 - Atletico Mineiro [2 : 0] Avai
06-Apr-2015 - Avai [1 : 4] Atletico Mineiro
9 DE OCTUBRE FC'S LAST 10 MATCHES
ATLETICO MINEIRO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Atletico Mineiro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Atletico Mineiro lost to Tolima (1-2) on 26/05/22
Then Brasiliense lost to Atletico Mineiro (0-1) on 23/05/22
Atletico Mineiro won against Ind. del Valle (3-1) on 20/05/22
Not surprisingly Atletico Mineiro won against Goianiense GO (2-0) on 15/05/22
Bragantino drew with Atletico Mineiro (1-1) on 05-Dec-2022
Atletico Mineiro lost to America FC MG (1-2) on 05-Jul-2022
Then America FC MG lost to Atletico Mineiro (1-2) on 05-Apr-2022
Goias drew with Atletico Mineiro (2-2) on 05-Jan-2022
Ind. del Valle drew with Atletico Mineiro (1-1) on 27/04/22
In the earliest match listed here Atletico Mineiro drew with Coritiba (2-2) on 24/04/22
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
ATLETICO MINEIRO LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Atletico Mineiro's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Paranaense won against Avai (2-1) on 23/05/22
Then Avai lost to Juventude RS (1-2) on 16/05/22
Avai won against Coritiba (2-1) on 05-Oct-2022
Not surprisingly Internacional drew with Avai (0-0) on 05-Feb-2022
Avai won against Goias (3-2) on 26/04/22
Corinthians won against Avai (3-0) on 17/04/22
Then Avai won against America FC MG (1-0) on 04-Nov-2022
Brusque drew with Avai (0-0) on 19/03/22
Avai drew with Brusque (1-1) on 14/03/22
In the earliest match listed here Avai lost to Ceilandia (1-2) on 03-Nov-2022
9 DE OCTUBRE FC POSITION
ATLETICO MINEIRO'S POSITION
Atletico Mineiro is in position 4 with 12 points from 7 matches. They are below Sao Paulo who have 12 points and above Botafogo who have 12 points.
Atletico Mineiro have scored 11 goals and conceded 7 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.
INDEPENDIENTE DV POSITION
AVAI'S POSITION
Avai is in position 10 with 10 points from 7 matches. They are below America FC MG who have 10 points and above Internacional who have 10 points.
Avai have scored 8 goals and conceded 10 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.
9 DE OCTUBRE FC BEST PLAYERS
ATLETICO MINEIRO'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Atletico Mineiro's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Hulk - The Brazil National Hulk has scored 4 goals in 5 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.8.
Jefferson Savarino - The Venezuela National Jefferson Savarino has scored 2 goals in 3 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.67.
Ignacio Fernandez - The Argentina National Ignacio Fernandez has scored 2 goals in 6 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.33.
Eduardo Vargas - The Chile National Eduardo Vargas has scored 1 goals in 4 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.
Matias Zaracho - The Argentina National Matias Zaracho has scored 1 goals in 6 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.17.
- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .
INDEPENDIENTE DV BEST PLAYERS
AVAI'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Avai's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Bissoli - The Brazil National Bissoli has scored 3 goals in 6 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.
Muriqui - The Brazil National Muriqui has scored 2 goals in 5 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.
William de Oliveira Pottker - The Brazil National William de Oliveira Pottker has scored 1 goals in 4 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.
Morato - The Brazil National Morato has scored 1 goals in 6 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.17.
Raniele - The Brazil National Raniele has scored 1 goals in 7 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.14.
- The National has scored goals in games and shot foul kicks. He has scored penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is .
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