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AUSTRIA LUSTENAU vs FC LIEFERING GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Austria Lustenau vs Fc Liefering GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Austria, Erste Ligamatch on 06-Aug-2021

Austria Lustenau

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DATE:

6 August 2021 at 19:30:00

Fc Liefering

COUNTRY:

Austria

LEAGUE

Erste Liga

TIME:

7:30 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

4.08

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

4.08

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

1.74

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. 


By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Austria Lustenau vs Fc Liefering match is 61.61 which is positive and therefore a good bet.The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.51 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.23%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Austria Lustenau vs Fc Liefering match is 64.39%, then this bet is not a value bet.


If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -1.84%Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). Both Austria Lustenau and Fc Liefering have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. 


It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Austria Lustenau vs Fc Liefering match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 59.16% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 65.00% chance for the same. 


Finally, 69.00% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game.

AUSTRIA LUSTENAU vs FC LIEFERING GG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

64%

AVR. ODDS:

1.51

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

35%

2.4

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

16%

AVR. ODDS:

4.47

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

63%

AVR. ODDS:

1.49

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

36%

2.46

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

42%

AVR. ODDS:

2.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

58%

AVR. ODDS:

1.84

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

AUSTRIA LUSTENAU VS FC LIEFERING LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Austria Lustenau and Liefering have met 6 times recently since 09-Jan-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Austria Lustenau vs Liefering prediction.
16/05/21 - Austria Lustenau [2 : 4] Liefering
02-Dec-2021 - Liefering [3 : 1] Austria Lustenau
07-Mar-2020 - Liefering [4 : 2] Austria Lustenau
10-Jun-2019 - Austria Lustenau [3 : 2] Liefering
04-May-2019 - Liefering [1 : 2] Austria Lustenau
09-Jan-2018 - Austria Lustenau [1 : 0] Liefering

AUSTRIA LUSTENAU LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Austria Lustenau's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
SV Lafnitz lost to Austria Lustenau (1-4) on 30/07/21
Then Austria Lustenau won against GAK (2-1) on 25/07/21
Wels lost to Austria Lustenau (1-3) on 17/07/21
Not surprisingly Widnau won against Austria Lustenau (2-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Bregenz lost to Austria Lustenau (0-1) on 19/06/21
SV Lafnitz drew with Austria Lustenau (4-4) on 23/05/21
Then Austria Lustenau lost to Liefering (2-4) on 16/05/21
GAK won against Austria Lustenau (2-0) on 05-Dec-2021
Austria Lustenau won against Amstetten (4-2) on 05-Aug-2021
In the earliest match listed here Austria Lustenau lost to Austria Klagenfurt (0-2) on 05-Jan-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Fc Liefering's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Liefering won against St. Polten (2-1) on 30/07/21
Kapfenberger lost to Liefering (0-2) on 23/07/21
Then Liefering won against P. Saalfelden (1-0) on 16/07/21
Liefering won against Grodig (4-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Sturm Graz won against Liefering (9-1) on 07-Feb-2021
Then Liefering lost to SV Ried (1-2) on 25/06/21
Liefering drew with Blau-Weiss Linz (1-1) on 23/05/21
Austria Lustenau lost to Liefering (2-4) on 16/05/21
Once more Liefering lost to Austria Klagenfurt (2-3) on 05-Dec-2021
Vorwarts Steyr lost to Liefering (1-4) on 05-Jul-2021

AUSTRIA LUSTENAU'S POSITION

Austria Lustenau is in position 2 with 6 points from 2 matches. They are below Blau-Weiss Linz who have 6 points and above who have points.
have scored 6 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 4 goals this season.

FC LIEFERING'S POSITION

Liefering is in position 3 with 6 points from 2 matches. They are below who have points and above Amstetten who have 4 points.
Fc Liefering have scored 4 goals and conceded 1 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.

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