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Bastia vs Paris FC Prediction

Bastia vs Paris FC Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Bastia vs Paris FC are playing on 20-Sep-24.

Bastia

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DATE:

Paris FC

COUNTRY:

France

LEAGUE

Ligue 2

TIME:

21:00�

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

2.95

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

31%

AVR. ODDS:

3

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

2.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

NG TIPS Bastia and Paris FC will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Bastia and Paris FC have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.84 with an implied bookmaker probability of 54.35%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Bastia vs Paris FC match is 62.95%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.61%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Bastia vs Paris FC match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.84 where 1.84 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Bastia vs Paris FC, EV(NG) to be 62.95% * 100 * 1.84, which translates to 78.78. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Bastia vs Paris FC. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.44 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.44%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Bastia vs Paris FC match is 56.72%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -12.72%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Bastia vs Paris FC match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.44 where 1.44 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Bastia vs Paris FC, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 56.72% * 100 * 1.44, which translates to 38.39. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Bastia vs Paris FC Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

37%

AVR. ODDS:

1.86

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

63%

1.84

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.44

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

3.93

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

30%

AVR. ODDS:

2.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

70%

1.62

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

13%

AVR. ODDS:

3.79

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

87%

AVR. ODDS:

1.21

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BASTIA VS PARIS FC PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Bastia [1:1] Paris
Paris [1:0] Bastia
Paris [0:1] Bastia
Bastia [0:1] Paris
Bastia [2:1] Paris
Paris [1:0] Bastia
Bastia [3:0] Paris
Paris [1:2] Bastia

BASTIA'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Bastia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bastia - Troyes [0:0]
Martigues - Bastia [0:1]
Bastia - Amiens [1:0]
Metz - Bastia [1:1]
Angers - Bastia [1:2]
Bastia - AC Ajaccio [2:1]
Bastia - Rodez [1:2]
Bastia - Paris [1:1]
Pau - Bastia [1:2]
Bastia - Amiens [1:2]
Annecy - Bastia [3:2]
Bastia - Concarneau [2:0]
Guingamp - Bastia [0:1]
Bordeaux - Bastia [2:3]
Bastia - Dunkerque [1:1]
Stade Lavallois - Bastia [1:2]
Bastia - Saint-Etienne [0:4]
Troyes - Bastia [2:0]
Bastia - Grenoble [1:0]
Auxerre - Bastia [1:1]
Bastia - Rodez [0:2]
Quevilly-Rouen - Bastia [0:1]
Bastia - AC Ajaccio [1:0]
Valenciennes - Bastia [3:1]
Bastia - Caen [1:2]
Bastia - Angers [2:0]
Bastia - Furiani Agliani [2:1]
Saint-Etienne - Bastia [3:2]
Bastia - Quevilly-Rouen [0:0]
Dunkerque - Bastia [0:5]

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Paris's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Paris - Metz [1:2]
Clermont Foot - Paris [0:1]
Paris - Dunkerque [3:2]
Caen - Paris [0:2]
Paris - AC Ajaccio [1:1]
Clermont Foot - Paris [1:3]
Rodez - Paris [3:2]
Bastia - Paris [1:1]
Paris - Guingamp [2:1]
Auxerre - Paris [2:0]
Paris - Angers [3:1]
Rodez - Paris [1:0]
Paris - Valenciennes [2:1]
Troyes - Paris [1:2]
Paris - Grenoble [2:1]
Bordeaux - Paris [3:3]
Paris - AC Ajaccio [2:0]
Caen - Paris [0:1]
Paris - Saint-Etienne [0:0]
Quevilly-Rouen - Paris [0:0]
Concarneau - Paris [2:2]
Paris - Pau [1:1]
Amiens - Paris [1:1]
Paris - Dunkerque [1:2]
Stade Lavallois - Paris [1:1]
Valenciennes - Paris [2:1]
Paris - Annecy [2:1]
Ales - Paris [1:2]
Paris - Quevilly-Rouen [2:2]
Valenciennes - Paris [0:1]

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