Dunkerque vs PAU FC Prediction
Dunkerque vs PAU FC Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Dunkerque vs PAU FC are playing on 20-Sep-24.
Dunkerque
PAU FC
DATE:
TIME:
21:00�
COUNTRY:
France
LEAGUE
Ligue 2
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
2.55
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.15
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
42%
AVR. ODDS:
2.7
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
NG TIPS
Dunkerque and PAU FC will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Dunkerque and PAU FC have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.89 with an implied bookmaker probability of 52.91%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Dunkerque vs PAU FC match is 54.73%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 1.82%.
Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Dunkerque vs PAU FC match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.89 where 1.89 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Dunkerque vs PAU FC, EV(NG) to be 54.73% * 100 * 1.89, which translates to 58.15. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Dunkerque vs PAU FC. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.37333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 72.82%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Dunkerque vs PAU FC match is 66.22%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -6.59%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Dunkerque vs PAU FC match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.37333333333333 where 1.37333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Dunkerque vs PAU FC, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 66.22% * 100 * 1.37, which translates to 57.16. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.82
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.89
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
34%
AVR. ODDS:
3.75
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
2.06
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
60%
AVR. ODDS:
1.68
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
3.61
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
80%
AVR. ODDS:
1.25
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
DUNKERQUE VS PAU FC PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Dunkerque [1:0] Pau
Pau [1:1] Dunkerque
Dunkerque [1:0] Pau
Pau [1:2] Dunkerque
Pau [3:1] Dunkerque
Dunkerque [2:2] Pau
Pau [2:0] Dunkerque
Dunkerque [4:1] Pau
Dunkerque [1:2] Pau
Pau [0:0] Dunkerque
DUNKERQUE'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Dunkerque's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Clermont Foot - Dunkerque [0:1]
Dunkerque - Rodez [1:0]
Paris - Dunkerque [3:2]
Dunkerque - Annecy [0:2]
Dunkerque - Zulte [2:2]
Nantes - Dunkerque [2:1]
Angers - Dunkerque [0:0]
Dunkerque - Caen [2:2]
Quevilly-Rouen - Dunkerque [1:2]
Dunkerque - Auxerre [1:3]
Bordeaux - Dunkerque [2:0]
Amiens - Dunkerque [0:1]
Dunkerque - Guingamp [0:1]
Bastia - Dunkerque [1:1]
Dunkerque - Annecy [0:2]
Stade Lavallois - Dunkerque [1:2]
Dunkerque - Pau [1:0]
Dunkerque - Concarneau [2:2]
Troyes - Dunkerque [1:2]
Dunkerque - Valenciennes [2:1]
Rodez - Dunkerque [0:0]
Dunkerque - Saint-Etienne [1:0]
Paris - Dunkerque [1:2]
Dunkerque - AC Ajaccio [2:0]
Le Puy - Dunkerque [2:1]
Grenoble - Dunkerque [2:2]
Saint Omer - Dunkerque [2:3]
Dunkerque - Bordeaux [0:2]
Caen - Dunkerque [1:0]
- [:]
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Pau's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Pau - Martigues [3:0]
Grenoble - Pau [1:1]
Pau - Caen [1:0]
Clermont Foot - Pau [2:2]
Pau - Rodez [4:1]
Toulouse - Pau [2:2]
Bordeaux - Pau [3:2]
Pau - Bastia [1:2]
Angers - Pau [2:1]
Pau - Guingamp [1:2]
Troyes - Pau [2:2]
Pau - Stade Lavallois [3:0]
Valenciennes - Pau [1:4]
Pau - AC Ajaccio [1:1]
Amiens - Pau [2:3]
Pau - Concarneau [2:0]
Dunkerque - Pau [1:0]
Pau - Caen [2:3]
Grenoble - Pau [0:1]
Pau - Quevilly-Rouen [0:2]
Paris - Pau [1:1]
Pau - Auxerre [2:2]
Annecy - Pau [0:0]
Pau - Saint-Etienne [0:1]
Rodez - Pau [2:1]
Pau - Nantes [1:4]
Pau - Troyes [1:1]
Stade Lavallois - Pau [1:1]
Coulaines - Pau [1:5]
Pau - Valenciennes [3:1]
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