All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Newcastle vs Burnley match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 37.33% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 49.06% chance for the same. Finally, 61.97% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win. 

UPGRADE TO GET SURE TICKETS

VIP Tips - 90% sure

Fixed Matches - 100% guaranteed

OTHER PREDICTIONS THIS WEEKEND

Cs Herediano Vs Cs Cartagines Prediction

Saprissa Vs Ld Alajuelense Prediction

Club Xelaju Vs Deportivo Malacateco Is A Fixed Match

Jazeera Amman Vs Sahab Club Prediction

Al-Jalil Vs Wihdat Amman Prediction

Barcelona Vs Getafe Prediction

Cadiz Cf Vs Osasuna Prediction

Los Andes Vs Dep Armenio Prediction

Rangers Vs San Luis Quillota Is A Fixed Match

Baranovichi Vs Lida Prediction

Nice Vs Bordeaux Is A Fixed Match

Atalanta Vs Bologna Is A Fixed Match

Mainz Vs Greuther Furth Prediction

This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game. The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Newcastle vs Burnley match is 61.71 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 2.27 with an implied bookmaker probability of 44.05%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Newcastle vs Burnley match is 49.45%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you gain expected value by 5.40%Strong recent and past performances that Newcastle have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match. 

Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Burnley might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true. Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. 

You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.