Patriotas Fc Vs Tigres Fc (Col) Prediction
Patriotas Fc Vs Tigres Fc (Col) Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) are playing on 31/3/22. Surebetsite has the best tips for this game.
Patriotas Fc
Tigres Fc (Col)
DATE:
30 March 2022 at 00:00:00
TIME:
12:00 AM
COUNTRY:
Colombia
LEAGUE
Copa Postobon, Knockout stage
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
1.37
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
4.01
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
38%
AVR. ODDS:
7.83
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
OVER 1.5 PREDICTION
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 56.60% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 53.70% chance for the same. Finally, 50.66% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.
The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.64 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.98%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match is 53.65%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -7.32%.
The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match is 41.64 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col).
The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
UNDER 3.5 PREDICTION
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible under 3.5 in this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match.
Poisson prediction model shows there is a 87.47% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 89.13% chance for the same. Finally, 90.68% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in under 3.5.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a under 3.5 in this game.
The odds for Under 3.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.3134328358209 with an implied bookmaker probability of 76.14%.
Considering that the surebet probability for the Under 3.5 outcome for this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match is 89.09%, then this bet is a value bet.
If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 12.96%.
The expected value for a UNDER 3.5 prediction is denoted as EV(UNDER 3.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a UNDER 3.5 in this Patriotas Fc vs Tigres Fc (Col) match is 106.11 which is positive and therefore a good bet.
In as much as Patriotas Fc and Tigres Fc (Col) are expected to score some goals in this match, I do not see a situation where they can score more than 3 goals.
They have proved in the past that they lack the capacity to stage consistent attacks with shots on target against each other. An under 3.5 prediction for this match is just fine.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
70%
AVR. ODDS:
2.29
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
1.55
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.34
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
13%
AVR. ODDS:
3.65
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
70%
AVR. ODDS:
2.01
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
53%
AVR. ODDS:
3.53
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
PATRIOTAS FC VS TIGRES FC (COL) PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
None Listed.
PATRIOTAS FC'S LAST 10 MATCHES
TUNTUM MA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Tuntum Ma's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Iape drew with Tuntum MA (1-1) on 27/03/22
Then Tuntum MA lost to Cruzeiro (0-3) on 17/03/22
Tuntum MA drew with Pinheiro AC MA (0-0) on 13/03/22
Not surprisingly Tuntum MA won against Volta Redonda (4-2) on 23/02/22
Tuntum MA drew with S. Jose de Ribamar (1-1) on 02-Jun-2022
Tuntum MA won against Cordino (3-2) on 02-Mar-2022
Then Moto Clube won against Tuntum MA (1-0) on 30/01/22
drew with (-) on 00-Jan-1900
drew with (-) on 00-Jan-1900
In the earliest match listed here drew with (-) on 00-Jan-1900
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
TUNTUM MA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Tuntum Ma's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sampaio Correa won against Moto Clube (3-1) on 27/03/22
Then Sampaio Correa drew with Cordino (2-2) on 24/03/22
Sampaio Correa lost to Botafogo (0-2) on 19/03/22
Not surprisingly Portuguesa won against Sampaio Correa (2-0) on 15/03/22
Sampaio Correa won against Moto Clube (1-0) on 13/03/22
Brasil AL won against Sampaio Correa (1-0) on 03-May-2022
Then Operario Varzea-Gr. lost to Sampaio Correa (1-2) on 03-Feb-2022
Sampaio Correa won against S. Jose de Ribamar (1-0) on 27/02/22
Bahia won against Sampaio Correa (2-0) on 25/02/22
In the earliest match listed here Sampaio Correa won against Floresta (3-0) on 21/02/22
PATRIOTAS FC POSITION
None Listed.
TIGRES FC (COL) POSITION
PATRIOTAS FC BEST PLAYERS
None Listed.
TIGRES FC (COL) BEST PLAYERS
None Listed.
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