UDINESE vs VENEZIA HOME WIN SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Udinese vs Venezia HOME WIN sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Italy, Serie A match on 27-Aug-2021
Udinese
DATE:
27 August 2021 at 19:30:00
Venezia
COUNTRY:
Italy
LEAGUE
Serie A
TIME:
7:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.69
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.92
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
4.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
The odds for Home Win outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.69 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.17%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Udinese vs Venezia match is 44.60%, then this bet is not a value bet.
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If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -14.57%The expected value for a Home Win prediction is denoted as EV(Home Win) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a Home Win in this Udinese vs Venezia match is 19.97 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Strong recent and past performances that Udinese have demonstrated lead us to conclude that the prospects for a home win are quite high for this match.
Expert football prediction sites have also supported this prediction by far and large. Venezia might not be able to record either a win or a draw in this match. It is however prudent to compare diffrent predictions to find the ones with the highest probabilities. True profits come from predictions with over 90% chance of coming true.
Some of our tips are 100% sure and guaranteed but can only be accessed by VIP members. You can also become a VIP member once you subscribe. Note also that you do not always have to use the win-draw-win market. It might be popular but not necessarily the best or least risky. See all predictions today to see tips from other betting markets.
See Correct Score Predictions today
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible home win in this Udinese vs Venezia match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 44.39% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 44.61% chance for the same. Finally, 44.80% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in home win.
This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a home win in this game.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
51%
AVR. ODDS:
1.86
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
49%
1.85
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.21
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.36
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.85
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
53%
1.85
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.25
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.38
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
UDINESE VS VENEZIA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Udinese and Venezia have met 6 times recently since 29/08/99. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Udinese vs Venezia prediction.
13/09/20 - Udinese [0 : 1] Venezia
10-Dec-2019 - Udinese [1 : 1] Venezia
21/04/02 - Udinese [1 : 0] Venezia
16/12/01 - Venezia [2 : 1] Udinese
23/01/00 - Udinese [5 : 2] Venezia
29/08/99 - Venezia [1 : 1] Udinese
UDINESE LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Udinese's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Udinese drew with Juventus (2-2) on 22/08/21
Then Udinese won against Ascoli (3-1) on 13/08/21
Lens won against Udinese (4-1) on 31/07/21
Not surprisingly Udinese lost to Sturm Graz (2-3) on 28/07/21
Inter won against Udinese (5-1) on 23/05/21
Udinese lost to Sampdoria (0-1) on 16/05/21
Then Napoli won against Udinese (5-1) on 05-Nov-2021
Udinese drew with Bologna (1-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Udinese lost to Juventus (1-2) on 05-Feb-2021
In the earliest match listed here Benevento lost to Udinese (2-4) on 25/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Venezia's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Napoli won against Venezia (2-0) on 22/08/21
Venezia won against Frosinone (8-7) on 15/08/21
Then Groningen drew with Venezia (0-0) on 08-Jun-2021
Enschede lost to Venezia (0-1) on 08-Mar-2021
Utrecht lost to Venezia (2-3) on 31/07/21
Then Venezia drew with Cittadella (1-1) on 27/05/21
Cittadella lost to Venezia (0-1) on 23/05/21
Lecce drew with Venezia (1-1) on 20/05/21
Once more Venezia won against Lecce (1-0) on 17/05/21
Venezia won against Chievo (3-2) on 13/05/21
UDINESE'S POSITION
Udinese is in position 9 with 1 points from 1 matches. They are below Spezia who have 1 points and above Hellas Verona who have 0 points.
have scored 2 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 0 goals this season.
VENEZIA'S POSITION
Venezia is in position 19 with 0 points from 1 matches. They are below Empoli who have 0 points and above Genoa who have 0 points.
Venezia have scored 0 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.
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