Carsko Selo 2015 is expected to outperform Fk Arda Kurdzhali in this match. Home advantage may not help Fk Arda Kurdzhali in this game. With odds of 2.79 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match.

Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 40.99% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 49.69% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 59.01% chance for a away win outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.79 with an implied bookmaker probability of 35.84%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 49.90%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 14.06%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Away Win) * 100* 2.79 where 2.79 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(Away Win) to be 49.90% * 100 * 2.79, which translates to 89.11. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Fk Arda Kurdzhali and Carsko Selo 2015 will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Fk Arda Kurdzhali and Carsko Selo 2015 have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal.

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 51.45% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 56.83% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 64.90% chance for a ng outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.617 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.84%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 57.73%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.12%Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(NG) * 100* 1.617 where 1.617 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(NG) to be 57.73% * 100 * 1.61, which translates to 51.07. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 69.03% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.59% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 61.83% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.66 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.24%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is 65.48%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 5.24%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015 match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.66 where 1.66 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Fk Arda Kurdzhali vs Carsko Selo 2015, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 65.48% * 100 * 1.66, which translates to 74.18. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.