Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow prediction
Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow are playing on 06-Dec-21
Warta Poznan
Wisla Krakow
DATE:
5 December 2021 at 20:00:00
TIME:
8:00 PM
COUNTRY:
Poland
LEAGUE
Ekstraklasa
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
42%
AVR. ODDS:
2.61
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
33%
AVR. ODDS:
2.66
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match, we are well convinced that Warta Poznan is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Wisla Krakow. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 64.01% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.38% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 39.34% chance for a home win outcome.
This Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.98 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.51%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match is 51.25%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.74%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.98 where 1.98 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow, EV(Home Win) to be 51.25% * 100 * 1.98, which translates to 52.71. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 74.05% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 85.05% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 90.66% chance for a over 1.5 outcome.
This Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.25333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 79.79%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match is 83.25%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 3.47%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.25333333333333 where 1.25333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 83.25% * 100 * 1.25, which translates to 87.59. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
46%
AVR. ODDS:
1.78
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
1.88
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.34
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
30%
AVR. ODDS:
3.65
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
2.01
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
1.76
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.53
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
WARTA POZNAN VS WISLA KRAKOW PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
DUNAJSKA STREDA VS FK POHRONIE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Ziar Nad Hronom and Dunajska Streda have met 6 times recently since 28/08/13. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Ziar Nad Hronom vs Dunajska Streda prediction.
27/08/21 - Ziar Nad Hronom [0 : 3] Dunajska Streda
11-Jul-2020 - Dunajska Streda [0 : 0] Ziar Nad Hronom
08-Dec-2020 - Ziar Nad Hronom [1 : 2] Dunajska Streda
26/10/19 - Ziar Nad Hronom [0 : 2] Dunajska Streda
28/07/19 - Dunajska Streda [5 : 1] Ziar Nad Hronom
28/08/13 - Dunajska Streda [6 : 1] Ziar Nad Hronom
WARTA POZNAN'S LAST 10 MATCHES
DUNAJSKA STREDA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Dunajska Streda's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Trencin lost to Dunajska Streda (0-1) on 27/11/21
Then Dunajska Streda won against Senica (1-0) on 20/11/21
Dunajska Streda lost to Sered (1-3) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Liptovsky Mikulas won against Dunajska Streda (1-0) on 30/10/21
Dunajska Streda won against Michalovce (1-0) on 24/10/21
Zilina lost to Dunajska Streda (0-2) on 16/10/21
Then Dunajska Streda won against Zlate Moravce (4-2) on 10-Jan-2021
Dunajska Streda lost to Trnava (0-3) on 26/09/21
Komarno won against Dunajska Streda (4-3) on 22/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Ruzomberok lost to Dunajska Streda (1-2) on 18/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
DUNAJSKA STREDA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Dunajska Streda's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Zlate Moravce (0-2) on 27/11/21
Then Sered won against Ziar Nad Hronom (3-1) on 20/11/21
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Zilina (1-2) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Michalovce lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-2) on 30/10/21
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Trnava (0-2) on 23/10/21
Banik Lehota lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-1) on 20/10/21
Then Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Ruzomberok (2-2) on 16/10/21
Slovan Bratislava won against Ziar Nad Hronom (5-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Trencin (2-2) on 24/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Namestovo lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-3) on 21/09/21
WARTA POZNAN POSITION
DUNAJSKA STREDA'S POSITION
Dunajska Streda is in position 4 with 27 points from 16 matches. They are below Ruzomberok who have 30 points and above Zilina who have 23 points.
Dunajska Streda have scored 22 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
WISLA KRAKOW POSITION
WARTA POZNAN BEST PLAYERS
DUNAJSKA STREDA'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Dunajska Streda's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Yhoan Andzouana - The Congo National Yhoan Andzouana has scored 3 goals in 12 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.
Andras Schafer - The Hungary National Andras Schafer has scored 3 goals in 14 games and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.21.
Zuberu Sharani - The Ghana National Zuberu Sharani has scored 3 goals in 15 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.2.
Abdulrahman Taiwo - The Nigeria National Abdulrahman Taiwo has scored 2 goals in 4 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.
Didier Lamkel Ze - The Cameroon National Didier Lamkel Ze has scored 2 goals in 7 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.29.
Nikola Krstovic - The Montenegro National Nikola Krstovic has scored 2 goals in 9 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.22.
WISLA KRAKOW BEST PLAYERS
FK POHRONIE'S BEST PLAYERS
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Fk Pohronie's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Milos Lacny - The Slovakia National Milos Lacny has scored 6 goals in 15 games and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.
Cedric Badolo - The Burkina Faso National Cedric Badolo has scored 2 goals in 16 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.
Ladji Malle - The Mali National Ladji Malle has scored 2 goals in 16 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.13.
Peter Mazan - The Slovakia National Peter Mazan has scored 2 goals in 16 games and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.13.
Timotej Zahumensky - The Slovakia National Timotej Zahumensky has scored 1 goals in 13 games and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.08.
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