ANTOFAGASTA vs UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA OVER 1.5 SUREBET PREDICTION
A detailed Antofagasta vs Universidad Catolica OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Chile, Primera Divisionmatch on 29-Jul-2021
Antofagasta
DATE:
28 July 2021 at 19:30:00
Universidad Catolica
COUNTRY:
Chile
LEAGUE
Primera Division
TIME:
7:30 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.96
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
36%
AVR. ODDS:
2.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Antofagasta vs Universidad Catolica match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 74.25% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 67.53% chance for the same. Finally, 59.36% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game.
The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.18300653594771 with an implied bookmaker probability of 84.53%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Antofagasta vs Universidad Catolica match is 67.05%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -17.48%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing.
By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Antofagasta vs Universidad Catolica match is 46.36 which is positive and therefore a good bet.Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Antofagasta vs Universidad Catolica. The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.68
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
53%
2.06
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
33%
AVR. ODDS:
3.44
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
59%
1.89
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
3.18
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
79%
AVR. ODDS:
1.41
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
ANTOFAGASTA VS UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Universidad Catolica and Antofagasta have met 6 times recently since 27/05/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Universidad Catolica vs Antofagasta prediction.
23/11/20 - Universidad Catolica [5 : 3] Antofagasta
02-Sep-2020 - Antofagasta [2 : 3] Universidad Catolica
09-Jan-2019 - Antofagasta [1 : 2] Universidad Catolica
18/05/19 - Universidad Catolica [5 : 1] Antofagasta
11-Apr-2018 - Antofagasta [1 : 1] Universidad Catolica
27/05/18 - Universidad Catolica [0 : 0] Antofagasta
ANTOFAGASTA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Antofagasta's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nublense drew with Antofagasta (0-0) on 24/07/21
Then Antofagasta won against Santiago Wanderers (1-0) on 16/07/21
Coquimbo won against Antofagasta (1-0) on 26/06/21
Not surprisingly Antofagasta drew with Coquimbo (0-0) on 22/06/21
Union Espanola drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 06-Jun-2021
Antofagasta won against Huachipato (1-0) on 31/05/21
Then Melipilla drew with Antofagasta (1-1) on 23/05/21
Antofagasta lost to U de Chile (1-2) on 05-Sep-2021
Union La Calera won against Antofagasta (2-1) on 05-Jan-2021
In the earliest match listed here Antofagasta won against Cobresal (2-1) on 24/04/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Universidad Catolica's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Universidad Catolica won against OHiggins (3-0) on 26/07/21
Palmeiras won against Universidad Catolica (1-0) on 22/07/21
Then Universidad Catolica drew with Colo-Colo (0-0) on 17/07/21
Universidad Catolica lost to Palmeiras (0-1) on 15/07/21
Universidad Catolica lost to Everton (0-2) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Everton drew with Universidad Catolica (0-0) on 07-Jan-2021
Universidad Catolica won against Deportes Iquique (9-8) on 27/06/21
Deportes Iquique drew with Universidad Catolica (1-1) on 23/06/21
Once more Santiago Wanderers lost to Universidad Catolica (0-1) on 06-May-2021
Universidad Catolica won against Cobresal (2-1) on 31/05/21
ANTOFAGASTA'S POSITION
Universidad Catolica is in position 1 with 22 points from 11 matches. They are below who have points and above Audax who have 21 points.
have scored 16 goals and conceded 9 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 7 goals this season.
UNIVERSIDAD CATOLICA'S POSITION
Antofagasta is in position 10 with 16 points from 11 matches. They are below OHiggins who have 17 points and above who have points.
Universidad Catolica have scored 14 goals and conceded 12 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.
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