BELGIUM vs FRANCE SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Belgium vs France sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International, UEFA Nations League match on 07-Oct-2021
Belgium
DATE:
7 October 2021 at 21:45:00
France
COUNTRY:
International
LEAGUE
UEFA Nations League
TIME:
9:45 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
59%
AVR. ODDS:
2.97
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.22
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
21%
AVR. ODDS:
2.45
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match.
Both Belgium and France have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Belgium vs France match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 78.67% probability for a GG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 73.90% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 66.71% chance for a gg outcome. This Belgium vs France match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.9 with an implied bookmaker probability of 52.63%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Belgium vs France match is 73.09%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 20.46%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Belgium vs France match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.9 where 1.9 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Belgium vs France, EV(GG) to be 73.09% * 100 * 1.9, which translates to 111.97. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
73%
AVR. ODDS:
1.9
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
24%
1.8
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.42
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
7%
AVR. ODDS:
2.93
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
79%
AVR. ODDS:
2.18
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
18%
1.61
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
62%
AVR. ODDS:
3.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
1.2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BELGIUM VS FRANCE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
France and Belgium have met 6 times recently since 28/06/86. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the France vs Belgium prediction.
07-Oct-2018 - France [1 : 0] Belgium
06-Jul-2015 - France [3 : 4] Belgium
14/08/13 - Belgium [0 : 0] France
16/11/11 - France [0 : 0] Belgium
18/02/04 - Belgium [0 : 2] France
28/06/86 - France [4 : 2] Belgium
BELGIUM LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Belgium's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Belarus lost to Belgium (0-1) on 09-Aug-2021
Then Belgium won against Czech Republic (3-0) on 09-May-2021
Estonia lost to Belgium (2-5) on 09-Feb-2021
Not surprisingly Belgium lost to Italy (1-2) on 07-Feb-2021
Belgium won against Portugal (1-0) on 27/06/21
Finland lost to Belgium (0-2) on 21/06/21
Then Denmark lost to Belgium (1-2) on 17/06/21
Belgium won against Russia (3-0) on 06-Dec-2021
Belgium won against Croatia (1-0) on 06-Jun-2021
In the earliest match listed here Belgium drew with Greece (1-1) on 06-Mar-2021
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are France's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
France won against Finland (2-0) on 09-Jul-2021
Ukraine drew with France (1-1) on 09-Apr-2021
Then France drew with Bosnia & Herzegovina (1-1) on 09-Jan-2021
France lost to Switzerland (4-5) on 28/06/21
Portugal drew with France (2-2) on 23/06/21
Then Hungary drew with France (1-1) on 19/06/21
France won against Germany (1-0) on 15/06/21
France won against Bulgaria (3-0) on 06-Aug-2021
Once more France won against Wales (3-0) on 06-Feb-2021
Bosnia & Herzegovina lost to France (0-1) on 31/03/21
BELGIUM'S POSITION
No position listed
FRANCE'S POSITION
No position listed
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