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CF MONTERREY vs CRUZ AZUL GG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Cf Monterrey vs Cruz Azul GG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, CONCACAF Champions Leaguematch on 12-Aug-2021

Cf Monterrey

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DATE:

12 August 2021 at 05:00:00

Cruz Azul

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

LEAGUE

CONCACAF Champions League

TIME:

5:00 AM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

41%

AVR. ODDS:

2.27

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.36

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

35%

AVR. ODDS:

3.02

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible gg in this Cf Monterrey vs Cruz Azul match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 59.06% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 62.83% chance for the same. Finally, 63.66% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in gg. 


This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a gg in this game. The odds for Gg outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.78 with an implied bookmaker probability of 56.18%. Considering that the surebet probability for the GG outcome for this Cf Monterrey vs Cruz Azul match is 61.85%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 5.67%.


The expected value for a GG prediction is denoted as EV(GG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a GG in this Cf Monterrey vs Cruz Azul match is 71.94 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


Given historical data, head to head matches and results from similar past matches, Surebet prediction systems and expert opinion have all converged on the conclusion that both teams will be able to score in this match, therefore validating a GG prediction (BTTS). Both Cf Monterrey and Cruz Azul have good strikers and have equally vulnerable defenses. It is quite unlikely that any of them will fail to score in this game.

CF MONTERREY vs CRUZ AZUL GG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

62%

AVR. ODDS:

1.78

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

38%

1.94

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.28

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

18%

AVR. ODDS:

3.18

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.96

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

39%

1.75

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

3.44

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

61%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

CF MONTERREY VS CRUZ AZUL LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Cruz Azul and Monterrey have met 6 times recently since 12-Jun-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Cruz Azul vs Monterrey prediction.
14/03/21 - Cruz Azul [1 : 0] Monterrey
11-Jan-2020 - Monterrey [1 : 0] Cruz Azul
26/09/19 - Cruz Azul [1 : 1] Monterrey
31/03/19 - Monterrey [2 : 2] Cruz Azul
12-Sep-2018 - Cruz Azul [1 : 0] Monterrey
12-Jun-2018 - Monterrey [1 : 0] Cruz Azul

CF MONTERREY LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Cf Monterrey's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Mazatlan drew with Monterrey (1-1) on 08-Jul-2021
Then Monterrey won against Pumas UNAM (2-0) on 08-Jan-2021
Monterrey drew with Puebla (1-1) on 26/07/21
Not surprisingly Monterrey won against Guadalajara (1-0) on 07-Dec-2021
Rio Grande Valley lost to Monterrey (1-5) on 07-May-2021
Monterrey drew with Santos Laguna (1-1) on 17/05/21
Then Santos Laguna won against Monterrey (2-1) on 14/05/21
Monterrey won against Columbus (3-0) on 05-Jun-2021
Monterrey won against Mazatlan (1-0) on 05-Feb-2021
In the earliest match listed here Columbus drew with Monterrey (2-2) on 29/04/21

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Cruz Azul's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Necaxa lost to Cruz Azul (1-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Santos Laguna drew with Cruz Azul (1-1) on 08-Feb-2021
Then Cruz Azul lost to Mazatlan (0-2) on 27/07/21
Leon lost to Cruz Azul (1-2) on 19/07/21
Cruz Azul drew with Santos Laguna (1-1) on 31/05/21
Then Santos Laguna lost to Cruz Azul (0-1) on 28/05/21
Cruz Azul won against Pachuca (1-0) on 23/05/21
Pachuca drew with Cruz Azul (0-0) on 20/05/21
Once more Cruz Azul won against Toluca (3-1) on 16/05/21
Toluca won against Cruz Azul (2-1) on 13/05/21

CF MONTERREY'S POSITION

No position listed

CRUZ AZUL'S POSITION

No position listed

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