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NAGOYA GRAMPUS vs KASHIMA ANTLERS SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Japan, J. League Cup, Playoffs match on 01-Sep-2021

Nagoya Grampus

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DATE:

1 September 2021 at 13:00:00

Kashima Antlers

COUNTRY:

Japan

LEAGUE

J. League Cup, Playoffs

TIME:

1:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

39%

AVR. ODDS:

2.69

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

22%

AVR. ODDS:

2.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

38%

AVR. ODDS:

2.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a gg in this Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 72.51% probability for a GG outcome. 



The ELO Ratings model came through with a 68.27% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 63.03% chance for a gg outcome. This Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. 



To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.99 with an implied bookmaker probability of 50.25%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers match is 67.94%, meaning this bet is a value bet. 




In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 17.69%Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers match is calculated as follows: Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. 



Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 1.99 where 1.99 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, EV(GG) to be 67.94% * 100 * 1.99, which translates to 103.13. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.




Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Nagoya Grampus and Kashima Antlers have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. 



I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.

NAGOYA GRAMPUS vs KASHIMA ANTLERS SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

68%

AVR. ODDS:

1.99

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

31%

1.73

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.53

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

13%

AVR. ODDS:

2.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

68%

AVR. ODDS:

2.34

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

32%

1.53

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

46%

AVR. ODDS:

4.11

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

53%

AVR. ODDS:

1.14

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

NAGOYA GRAMPUS VS KASHIMA ANTLERS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Nagoya and Kashima have met 6 times recently since 12-Jul-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Nagoya vs Kashima prediction.
05-Dec-2021 - Nagoya [0 : 2] Kashima
21/03/21 - Kashima [0 : 1] Nagoya
31/10/20 - Kashima [0 : 2] Nagoya
09-May-2020 - Nagoya [1 : 3] Kashima
16/02/20 - Nagoya [1 : 0] Kashima
12-Jul-2019 - Nagoya [0 : 1] Kashima

NAGOYA GRAMPUS LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Nagoya Grampus's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nagoya drew with Shimizu (1-1) on 29/08/21
Then Sapporo lost to Nagoya (0-2) on 25/08/21
Nagoya won against Avispa (1-0) on 22/08/21
Not surprisingly Nagoya won against Kobe (1-0) on 18/08/21
Nagoya won against Shonan (1-0) on 15/08/21
Marinos won against Nagoya (2-0) on 08-Dec-2021
Then Yokohama won against Nagoya (2-0) on 08-Sep-2021
Nagoya won against Fagiano O (1-0) on 08-Feb-2021
Tosu won against Nagoya (3-1) on 17/07/21
In the earliest match listed here Pohang Steelers drew with Nagoya (1-1) on 07-Jul-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Kashima Antlers's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Marinos lost to Kashima (0-2) on 28/08/21
Shimizu lost to Kashima (0-4) on 25/08/21
Then Kobe won against Kashima (1-0) on 21/08/21
Kashima won against V-Varen (3-1) on 18/08/21
Kashima won against Vortis (3-0) on 15/08/21
Then Shonan lost to Kashima (1-2) on 08-Sep-2021
Gamba lost to Kashima (0-1) on 24/07/21
Kashiwa won against Kashima (2-1) on 07-Nov-2021
Once more Kashima won against Tochigi (3-0) on 07-Jul-2021
Kashima won against Sapporo (4-0) on 27/06/21

NAGOYA GRAMPUS'S POSITION

No position listed

KASHIMA ANTLERS'S POSITION

No position listed

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