<p class="font_7">The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match is 68.16%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 19.86%. Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows:</p>
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<p class="font_7">Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(GG) * 100* 2.07 where 2.07 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol, EV(GG) to be 68.16% * 100 * 2.07, which translates to 109.26. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.</p>
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<p class="font_7">OVER 1.5 TIPS</p>
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<p class="font_7">Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 87.14% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.</p>
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<p class="font_7">The ELO Ratings model came through with a 89.01% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 90.22% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.</p>
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<p class="font_7"><strong>Also check out the </strong><a href="https://www.surebetsite.com/correct-score-tips"><u><strong>correct score prediction</strong></u></a><strong> for this game.</strong></p>
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<p class="font_7"><strong>Remember, when you upgrade to </strong><a href="https://www.surebetsite.com/vip-tips"><u><strong>VIP tips</strong></u></a><strong>, you get 90% accurate tickets.</strong></p>
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<p class="font_7">To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.26 with an implied bookmaker probability of 78.95%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match is 88.79%, meaning this bet is a value bet.</p>
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<p class="font_7">In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.84%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.</p>
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<p class="font_7">Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.26 where 1.26 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Pafos Fc vs Apollon Limassol, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 88.79% * 100 * 1.26, which translates to 101.25. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.</p>
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