HOME WIN TIPS After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match, we are well convinced that Spartak Moscow is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Kryliya Sovetov. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.33 with an implied bookmaker probability of 75.19%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is 57.97%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -17.21%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.33 where 1.33 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov, EV(Home Win) to be 57.97% * 100 * 1.33, which translates to 35.08. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. NG TIPS Spartak Moscow and Kryliya Sovetov will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Spartak Moscow and Kryliya Sovetov have no chance scoring each other. This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.67 with an implied bookmaker probability of 59.88%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is 54.60%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -5.28%. Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 1.67 where 1.67 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov, EV(NG) to be 54.60% * 100 * 1.67, which translates to 45.79. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. OVER 1.5 TIPS Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.14666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.21%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is 71.04%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -16.17%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.14666666666667 where 1.14666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Spartak Moscow vs Kryliya Sovetov, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 71.04% * 100 * 1.14, which translates to 52.5. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.