top of page
lawidmoses

AJAX VS LILLE GENERAL BET ANALYSIS


GENERAL BET ANALYSIS

1X2 PREDICTIONS

The best 1X2 prediction for this match is a home win with a probability of 0.527190497679581


AJAX VS LILLE BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE PREDICTION

You should note that this game is more likely to end with both teams having scored at least one goal. This comes with a probability of 0.51191301604735


AJAX VS LILLE DOUBLE CHANCE PREDICTION

A home win or draw (1X) is a betting choice that seems most sensible for this match despite the relatively low odds.


OVER OR UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

This upcoming game is likely to produce at least two goals making an Over 1.5 goals prediction quite a good one. This is however countered with a risk of 0.256096074592693 for the game ending with only one goal or less. Only consider this bet if it appears on the surebet section



AJAX VS LILLE OVER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION OR UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

This match is likely to produce at least 3 goals. Therefore an Over 2.5 goals prediction is quite sensible. This is nevertheless countered with a risk of 0.481542956510519 for the match ending with 2 goal or less. You should probably consider this bet if it appears on the Surebet predictions section


OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION FOR AJAX VS LILLE

An under 3.5 goals prediction with a probability of 0.678794564511187 is surely the better option of the two. It is quite unlikely that 4 or more goals will come out of this game. The probability of losing this bet are quite low at only 0.314194296888099.



EVEN OR ODD NUMBER OF GOALS PREDICTION FOR AJAX VS LILLE

The even and odd betting market is not an easy one to make predictions for, but according to our highly sophisticated software, this match is more likely to end with an even number of goals as opposed to an odd number of goals. If you are one of those risk takers who need minimal information to make betting decisions, this might be for you.


CORRECT SCORE PREDICTION

The correct score prediction for Ajax vs Lille is as follows:

1-AWAY


Since the total number of goals expected is the best correct score prediction is therefore


BET VALIDATION FOR AJAX VS LILLE PREDICTION

To arrive at the best bet for this game, we need to make an analysis comprised of various steps. Our best 3 bet validation methods are:

1. Poisson Validation Method

2. Monte Carlo Simulation & Artificial Intelligence Validation method

3. ELO Ratings Sytsem Validation Method


Poisson Validation Method For Ajax Vs Lille Prediction

The Following Tips Have Been Validated By The Poisson Method Of Bet Validation.

Home Win

Gg

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Under 3.5

Corr-Sc

1X

3 Goals

Even

1+Gg

2 Or 3

2-Home

1-Away


Monte Carlo & Ai Validation Method For Ajax Vs Lille Prediction

The Following Tips Have Been Validated By The Monte Carlo & Poisson Method Of Bet Validation.

Home Win

Gg

Over 1.5

Over 2.5

Under 3.5

Corr-Sc

1X

2 Goals

Even

1+Ng

2 Or 3

1-At-Home

1-Away


Elo Ratings Validation Method For Ajax Vs Lille Prediction

The Following Tips Have Been Validated By The Elo Ratings Method Of Bet Validation.

Home Win

Ng

Over 1.5

Under 2.5

Under 3.5

Corr-Sc

12

1 Goal

2 Goals

Even

1+Ng

2+Ng

2 Or 3

0-Home

0-Away

1-Away


VALIDATION FILTER

Clearly, there are several bets which have been validated by one or more of the validation methods. We now need to filter out those predictions that have not been validated by all the 3 validation methodsThe following bets have all been validated by the 3 validation methods:

HOME WIN

OVER 1.5

UNDER 3.5

CORR-SC

EVEN

2 OR 3

1-AWAY


EUROPEAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS

1(2:0)

This European handicap prediction means you win if Ajax wins with any number of goals, if the match ends in a draw or if Lille wins with only 1 goal. You lose only if Lille wins the game with more than 2 goals difference.

X(0:1)

This sure handicap prediction means you win if Ajax wins the match with exactly 1 goal more than Lille. You however lose if Ajax wins with more than 1 goal advantage, if the match ends in a draw or if Lille wins the game.

2(0:2)

This Euro handicap prediction means that you win your bet if Lille wins with any number of goals, if the match ends in a draw or if Ajax wins with 1 goal difference. The odds for this bet are 1.15 while the probability of winning the bet is 0.509236557349926.


ASIAN HANDICAP PREDICTIONS FOR AJAX VS LILLE

Ajax(-0.25)

Ajax(-0.25) - the bet is won if Ajax wins by one or more goals. The draw results in a loss of 50% of the stake and a void of the rest of it. The lost match means the bet is lost.


Ajax(-0.5)

Ajax(-0.5) - the bet is won if Ajax wins the match. A draw and a loss of the team stand for the lost bet.


Lille(+2.5)

Lille(+2.5) - the bet is won if Lille wins, draws or loses the match by one or two goals. The loss by three goals means the bet is lost.


AJAX VS LILLE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Lille and Ajax have met 6 times recently since 00-Jan-1900. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Lille vs Ajax prediction.

18/02/21 - Lille [1 : 2] Ajax

27/11/19 - Lille [0 : 2] Ajax

17/09/19 - Ajax [3 : 0] Lille


AJAX LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Ajax's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:

Ajax won against Sparta (4-2) on 21/02/21

Then Lille lost to Ajax (1-2) on 18/02/21

Almelo lost to Ajax (0-2) on 13/02/21

Not surprisingly Ajax won against Eindhoven (2-1) on 02-Oct-2021

Alkmaar lost to Ajax (0-3) on 31/01/21

Ajax won against Willem II (3-1) on 28/01/21

Then Sittard lost to Ajax (1-2) on 24/01/21

Alkmaar lost to Ajax (0-1) on 20/01/21

Ajax won against Feyenoord (1-0) on 17/01/21

In the earliest match listed here Enschede lost to Ajax (1-3) on 14/01/21


LILLE LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Lille's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:

Lorient lost to Lille (1-4) on 21/02/21

Lille lost to Ajax (1-2) on 18/02/21

Then Lille drew with Brestois (0-0) on 14/02/21

Dijon lost to Lille (0-1) on 02-Oct-2021

Nantes lost to Lille (0-2) on 02-Jul-2021

Then Bordeaux lost to Lille (0-3) on 02-Mar-2021

Lille won against Dijon (1-0) on 31/01/21

Rennes lost to Lille (0-1) on 24/01/21

Once more Lille won against Reims (2-1) on 17/01/21

Nimes lost to Lille (0-1) on 01-Sep-2021


AJAX'S BEST PLAYERS

Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Ajax's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:


Dusan Tadic - The Serbia National Dusan Tadic has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 1.


Brian Brobbey - The Netherlands National Brian Brobbey has scored 1 goals in 1 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 1.


LILLE'S BEST PLAYERS

The following Lille players are crucial in determining the results of this game:


Yusuf Yazici - The Turkey National Yusuf Yazici has scored 6 goals in 7 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.86.


Jonathan Ikone - The France National Jonathan Ikone has scored 3 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.43.


Burak Yilmaz - The Turkey National Burak Yilmaz has scored 2 goals in 4 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.5.


Tim Weah - The USA National Tim Weah has scored 2 goals in 5 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.4.


Zeki Celik - The Turkey National Zeki Celik has scored 1 goals in 3 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.33.


Jonathan Bamba - The France National Jonathan Bamba has scored 1 goals in 7 matches and shot - foul kicks. He has scored - penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.14.


1 view0 comments

Recent Posts

See All

Comments


bottom of page