Since 2008, Brighton has never been able to win at home against Bournemouth. Will they break that spell this weekend? This question lingers on Brighton's mind even as they ponder over the 3 matches they have lost in a row. Bournemouth have also not won any of their last 3 matches. Do not be worried however as we have prepared for you the best Brighton vs Bournemouth prediction you can get anywhere.
This is a Sportpesa mega jackpot prediction and can also be used as a sure bet prediction.
According to our Surebet odds software, the following is our analysis of the 1X2 odds given historical data:
Probability of winning a HOME bet for this match is 42.19% and the Sportpesa odds are 2.37.
The chances of winning a DRAW bet for this match is 30.49% and the Sportpesa odds are 3.28.
Chances of winning a AWAY bet for this match is 32.05% and the Sportpesa odds are 3.12.
DOUBLE CHANCE MEGA JACKPOT PREDICTION
The probability of winning a 1X bet for this match is 74.07% and the Sportpesa odds are 1.35.
Probability of winning a X2 bet for this match is 62.5% and the Sportpesa odds are 1.6.
Chances of winning a 12 bet for this match is 74.07% and the Sportpesa odds are 1.35.
PROBABILITY OF BRIGHTON WINNING, DRAWING OR LOSING A MATCH
The probability that Brighton wins any match this season is 29.03%.
Besides they have a 19.35% chance of drawing in a match if current results are anything to go by.
Brighton also have a 51.61% chance of losing at home.
These probabilities are more important in the prediction of this match than the probabilities generated from the odds. You can however get the sure bet prediction on our VIP page.
PROBABILITY OF BOURNEMOUTH WINNING, DRAWING OR LOSING A MATCH
The probability that Bournemouth win a match is 33.33%.
They also have a 15.15% chance of drawing at a match as per recent statistics.
Bournemouth also have a 51.52% chance of losing at a match according to their current form.
Remember you can get the VIP tips for this game together with other sure bet predictions to form a sure multi bet when you register.
BRIGHTON POSITION
Brighton is in position 16 with 33 points from 31 matches. They are below Newcastle who have 35 points and above Southampton who have 33 points.
Brighton have scored 32 goals and conceded 46 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -14 goals this season.
BOURNEMOUTH POSITION
Bournemouth is in position 13 with 38 points from 33 matches. They are below Crystal Palace who have 39 points and above Burnley who have 36 points.
Bournemouth have scored 44 goals and conceded 61 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -17 goals this season.
OVER 0.5 & UNDER 0.5 PREDICTION
Since the average goals scored by Brighton in their past matches is 1.03 the average number of goals for Bournemouth is 1.33, the over prediction for this match is over 0.5 goals to be scored.
OVER 1.5 & UNDER 1.5 PREDICTION
Of the 31 matches Brighton have played this season, 21 resulted in over 1.5 goals while 10 ended with under 1.5 goals. On the other hand 31 of Bournemouth's 33 games this season ended with over 1.5 goals while 2 ended in under 1.5.
Those results mean Brighton's matches have a 0.6774 chance of ending with over 1.5 goals and 0.3226 chance for under. The figures are 0.9394 and 0.0606 for Bournemouth respectively.
The over or under 1.5 prediction for this match is therefore over 1.5 goals to be scored.
OVER 2.5 & UNDER 2.5 PREDICTION
Of the 31 matches Brighton have played this season, 16 resulted in over 2.5 goals while 15 ended with under 2.5 goals. On the other hand 21 of Bournemouth's 33 games this season ended with over 2.5 goals while 12 ended in under 2.5.
Those results mean Brighton's matches have a 0.5161 chance of ending with over 2.5 goals and 0.4839 chance for under. The figures are 0.6364 and 0.3636 for Bournemouth respectively.
The over or 2.5 prediction for this match(with very good odds) is available on the VIP sure tips section for betting tips and fixed matches.
OVER 3.5 & UNDER 3.5 PREDICTION
Of the 31 matches Brighton have played this season, 8 resulted in over 3.5 goals while 23 ended with under 3.5 goals. On the other hand 13 of Bournemouth's 33 games this season ended with over 3.5 goals while 20 ended in under 3.5.
Those results mean Brighton's matches have a 0.2581 chance of ending with over 3.5 goals and 0.7419 chance for under. The figures are 0.3939 and 0.6061 for Bournemouth respectively.
The over or 3.5 sure prediction for this match is available on the VIP sure tips section for football betting tips and mega jackpot prediction.
OVER 4.5 & UNDER 4.5 PREDICTION
Out of 31 games Brighton played this season, 2 ended with over 4.5 goals while 29 resulted with under 4.5 goals. Similarly, 5 of Bournemouth's 33 matches this season ended with over 4.5 goals while 28 ended in under 4.5.
That mean Brighton's matches have a 0.0645 probability of ending with over 4.5 goals and 0.9355 chance for under. The figures are 0.1515 and 0.8485 for Bournemouth respectively.
The over or 4.5 sure bet prediction for this match is under 4.5 goals.
OVER 5.5 & UNDER 5.5 PREDICTION
Out of 31 games Brighton took on this season, 1 ended with over 5.5 goals while 30 ended with under 5.5 goals. Similarly, 3 of Bournemouth's 33 games ended with over 5.5 goals while 30 ended in under 5.5.
That mean Brighton's matches have a 0.0323 probability of ending with over 5.5 goals and 0.9677 chance for under. The figures are 0.0909 and 0.9091 for Bournemouth respectively.
The over or 5.5 sure bet prediction for this match is under 5.5 goals.
GOAL GOAL & NO GOAL PREDICTION (GG/NG TIPS)
Brighton boast of clean sheets in 6 games, 19% and scored at least one goal in 22 games, 70%. Bournemouth on the other hand recorded clean sheets in 8 games, 24% and managed to score in 22 games, 66%.
What this data means is that a Sportpesa mega jackpot match involving Brighton has a 0.49chance of a NG and 0.51 chance of GG while a match involving Bournemouth has a 0.58 chance of No-Goal and a 0.42 chance for GG.
The probability of this sportpesa game ending in NG is therefore 0.535 while the chance for it ending with a result of GG is 0.465.
The best and expert goal-goal or no-goal(GG/NG) prediction for this game is on the VIP section where you can get up to 300 odds of sure football betting tips and predictions.
BRIGHTON VS BOURNEMOUTH LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Bournemouth and Brighton have met 6 times recently since 10-Apr-2015. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Bournemouth vs Brighton prediction.
Bournemouth lost to Brighton(1-3) on 05-Jan-2019
Bournemouth won against Brighton(2-0) on 22-Dec-2018
Brighton drew with Bournemouth(2-2) on 01-Jan-2018
Bournemouth won against Brighton(1-0) on 19-Sep-2017
Bournemouth won against Brighton(2-1) on 15-Sep-2017
Brighton lost to Bournemouth(0-2) on 10-Apr-2015
BRIGHTON LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Brighton's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's mega jackpot prediction
Man City won against Brighton(1-0) on 06-Apr-2019
Chelsea won against Brighton(3-0) on 03-Apr-2019
Brighton lost to Southampton(0-1) on 30-Mar-2019
Millwall lost to Brighton(6-7) on 17-Mar-2019
Crystal Palace lost to Brighton(1-2) on 09-Mar-2019
Brighton won against Huddersfield(1-0) on 02-Mar-2019
Leicester won against Brighton(2-1) on 26-Feb-2019
Brighton won against Derby County(2-1) on 16-Feb-2019
Brighton lost to Burnley(1-3) on 09-Feb-2019
West Bromwich lost to Brighton(1-3) on 06-Feb-2019
BOURNEMOUTH LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Bournemouth's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's mega jackpot prediction this weekend
Bournemouth lost to Burnley(1-3) on 06-Apr-2019
Leicester won against Bournemouth(2-0) on 30-Mar-2019
Bournemouth drew with Newcastle(2-2) on 16-Mar-2019
Huddersfield lost to Bournemouth(0-2) on 09-Mar-2019
Bournemouth lost to Man City(0-1) on 02-Mar-2019
Arsenal won against Bournemouth(5-1) on 27-Feb-2019
Bournemouth drew with Wolverhampton(1-1) on 23-Feb-2019
Liverpool won against Bournemouth(3-0) on 09-Feb-2019
Cardiff won against Bournemouth(2-0) on 02-Feb-2019
Bournemouth won against Chelsea(4-0) on 30-Jan-2019
BRIGHTON PLAYERS TO WATCH
Sportpesa mega jackpot analysis, sure bet predictions and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Brighton's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Glenn Murray - The England National Glenn Murray has scored 11 goals in 31 matches and shot 7 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.35.
Shane Duffy - The Ireland National Shane Duffy has scored 5 goals in 28 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.18.
Florin Andone - The Romania National Florin Andone has scored 3 goals in 17 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.
Pascal Gross - The Germany National Pascal Gross has scored 2 goals in 19 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.
Jurgen Locadia - The Netherlands National Jurgen Locadia has scored 2 goals in 23 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.09.
nAthony Knockaert - The France National Anthony Knockaert has scored 2 goals in 26 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.08.
![](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/ee569d_356d64ed0fde4a17a0fd48762e664c78~mv2_d_1937_1358_s_2.png/v1/fill/w_980,h_687,al_c,q_90,usm_0.66_1.00_0.01,enc_auto/ee569d_356d64ed0fde4a17a0fd48762e664c78~mv2_d_1937_1358_s_2.png)
BOURNEMOUTH PLAYERS TO WATCH
The following Bournemouth players are crucial in determining the results of this mega jackpot game:
Callum Wilson - The England National Callum Wilson has scored 11 goals in 25 matches and shot 5 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.44.
Joshua King - The Norway National Joshua King has scored 11 goals in 30 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 5 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.37.
David Brooks - The Wales National David Brooks has scored 6 goals in 27 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.22.
Ryan Fraser - The Scotland National Ryan Fraser has scored 6 goals in 33 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.18.
Nathan Ake - The Netherlands National Nathan Ake has scored 3 goals in 33 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The defender's average goals per match is 0.09.
Junior Stanislas - The England National Junior Stanislas has scored 1 goals in 21 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.05.
BRIGHTON'S NEXT 5 SCHEDULES OR FIXTURES
After this Sportpesa jackpot match, below are the matches lined up for BrightonBournemouth will host Fulham on 20-Apr-2019
Southampton will host Bournemouth on 27-Apr-2019
Bournemouth will host Tottenham on 06-May-2019
Crystal Palace will host Bournemouth on 12-May-2019
Arsenal will host Brighton on 04-May-2019
CRAWLEY TOWN'S NEXT 5 SCHEDULES OR FIXTURES
Once Crawley Town is done with this match whose mega jackpot analysis and prediction we have done for this weekend, below are the matches lined up for them:
Exeter will host Crawley on 19-Apr-2019
Crawley will host Notts County on 22-Apr-2019
Carlisle will host Crawley on 27-Apr-2019
Crawley will host Tranmere on 04-May-2019
Sibir Novosibirsk will host PFC Sochi on 04-May-2019
MATCH ODDS
This match has been allocated the following odds on average as per odd allocations on Sportpesa, Bwin, Betway, Betin, Betika, 1Xbet and others.
HOME WIN: 2.37
DRAW: 3.28
AWAY WIN: 3.12
HOME OR DRAW: 1.35
DRAW OR AWAY: 1.6
HOME OR AWAY: 1.35
OVER 0.5: 1.07
UNDER 0.5: 9.5
OVER 1.5: 1.35
UNDER 1.5: 3.4
OVER 2.5: 2.05
UNDER 2.5: 1.8
GOAL-GOAL: 1.8
NO-GOAL: 2
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