Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC are playing on 21-Sep-24.
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC match, we are well convinced that Crusaders Belfast is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Portadown FC. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
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To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.51 with an implied bookmaker probability of 66.23%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC match is 60.17%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -6.06%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.51 where 1.51 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC, EV(Home Win) to be 60.17% * 100 * 1.51, which translates to 51.01. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.08666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.02%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC match is 79.86%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -12.16%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.08666666666667 where 1.08666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Crusaders Belfast vs Portadown FC, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 79.86% * 100 * 1.08, which translates to 66.65. This is a positive Expected Value thus further validating this bet mathematically.
CRUSADERS BELFAST VS PORTADOWN FC PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Portadown [2:1] Crusaders
Portadown [2:2] Crusaders
Crusaders [4:0] Portadown
Crusaders [2:1] Portadown
Portadown [0:1] Crusaders
Crusaders [2:0] Portadown
Crusaders [4:0] Portadown
Portadown [1:2] Crusaders
Portadown [2:2] Crusaders
Crusaders [5:0] Portadown
CRUSADERS BELFAST'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Crusaders's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dungannon - Crusaders [1:0]
Crusaders - Glenavon [0:1]
Crusaders - Carrick [2:1]
Crusaders - Cliftonville [1:1]
Ballymena United - Crusaders [0:1]
Glentoran - Crusaders [0:1]
Crusaders - Newington [3:0]
Crusaders - Caernarfon [7:8]
Caernarfon - Crusaders [2:0]
Crusaders - Salford [1:3]
Crusaders - Airdrieonians [3:2]
H. W. Welders - Crusaders [1:1]
Crusaders - Derry City [0:2]
Crusaders - Coleraine [3:2]
Crusaders - Carrick [3:1]
Glentoran - Crusaders [4:0]
Coleraine - Crusaders [0:2]
Crusaders - Cliftonville [2:1]
Crusaders - Linfield [1:2]
Larne - Crusaders [0:1]
Newry City - Crusaders [0:1]
Crusaders - Coleraine [1:1]
Ballymena United - Crusaders [2:4]
Crusaders - Glenavon [2:0]
Loughgall - Crusaders [0:1]
Dungannon - Crusaders [2:2]
Crusaders - Glentoran [1:2]
Linfield - Crusaders [1:0]
Crusaders - Larne [0:2]
Crusaders - Ards [6:7]
PORTADOWN FC'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Portadown's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Portadown - Coleraine [2:2]
Portadown - Dungannon [2:1]
Carrick - Portadown [0:1]
Portadown - Linfield [2:2]
Loughgall - Portadown [2:2]
Portadown - Glentoran [1:2]
Cliftonville - Portadown [1:0]
Ballyclare Comrades - Portadown [1:1]
Stranraer - Portadown [1:0]
Portadown - Institute [0:1]
Portadown - Dundela [1:1]
Portadown - H. W. Welders [3:1]
Portadown - Annagh United [2:4]
Bangor - Portadown [0:3]
Portadown - Knockbreda [2:0]
Portadown - Bangor [2:1]
Ards - Portadown [1:3]
Institute - Portadown [1:2]
Linfield - Portadown [3:1]
Portadown - Cliftonville [0:2]
Ballinamallard Utd - Portadown [1:2]
Portadown - Newington [0:4]
Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades [2:2]
Annagh United - Portadown [2:2]
Portadown - Ballyclare Comrades [2:1]
Portadown - Bangor [2:1]
Dundela - Portadown [1:1]
Portadown - Dergview [3:2]
Glenavon - Portadown [0:1]
H. W. Welders - Portadown [1:2]
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