This is a detailed analysis and prediction for Derby vs Leeds, a match that is one of the sportpesa mega jackpot this weekend.
Leeds have not won any of their last 4 games while Derby have won 4 home matches in a row. Leeds have however won 2 of the last 3 head to head matches the 2 teams have played recently.
Below is a detailed analysis for this game. You can also get all the sportpesa mega jackpot predictions for only 250/=. Send to number 0700926210.
DERBY VS LEEDS PREDICTION (1X2)
Probability of winning a home win bet for this match is 32.79% and the odds are 3.05.
The probability of winning a draw bet for this game is 32.15% and the odds are 3.11.
Chances of winning an away win bet for this match is 40.65% and the odds are 2.46.
DOUBLE CHANCE FOOTBALL TIPS AND PREDICTION FOR DERBY VS LEEDS
Probability of winning a 1X bet for this match is 66.67% and the odds are 1.5.
Chances of winning a X2 bet for this match is 74.07% and the odds are 1.35.
The probability of winning a 12 bet for this match is 74.07% and the odds are 1.35.
PROBABILITY OF DERBY WINNING, DRAWING OR LOSING A MATCH
The probability that Derby wins a match is 43.48%.
Besides they have a 30.43% chance of drawing in a match if current results are anything to go by.
Derby also have a 26.09% chance of losing at home.
These probabilities are more important in the prediction of this match than the probabilities generated from the odds. You can however get the sure bet prediction on our VIP page.
PROBABILITY OF LEEDS WINNING, DRAWING OR LOSING A MATCH
The probability that Leeds win a match is 54.35%.
They also have a 17.39% chance of drawing at a match as per recent statistics.
Leeds also have a 28.26% chance of losing at a match according to their current form.
Remember you can get the VIP tips for this game together with other sure bet predictions to form a sure multi bet when you register.
DERBY COUNTY POSITION
Derby County is in position 6 with 74 points from 46 matches. They are below Aston Villa who have 76 points and above Middlesbrough who have 73 points.
Derby have scored 69 goals and conceded 54 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 15 goals this season.
LEEDS POSITION
Leeds is in position 3 with 83 points from 46 matches. They are below Sheffield United who have 89 points and above West Bromwich who have 80 points.
Leeds have scored 73 goals and conceded 50 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 23 goals this season.
OVER 0.5 & UNDER 0.5 PREDICTION
Since the average goals scored by Derby County in their past matches is 1.5 and the average number of goals for Leeds is 1.59, the over/under 0.5 prediction for this match is over 0.5 goals to be scored.
OVER 1.5 & UNDER 1.5 PREDICTION
Out of the 46 matches Derby County have played this season, 37 resulted in over 1.5 goals while 9 ended with under 1.5 goals. On the other hand 36 of Leeds's 46 games this season ended with over 1.5 goals while 10 ended in under 1.5.
Those results mean Derby County's matches have a 0.8043 chance of ending with over 1.5 goals and 0.1957 chance for under. The figures are 0.7826 and 0.2174 for Leeds respectively.
The over or under 1.5 prediction for this match is therefore over 1.5 goals to be scored.
OVER 2.5 & UNDER 2.5 PREDICTION
Of the 46 matches Derby County have played this season, 22 resulted in over 2.5 goals while 24 ended with under 2.5 goals. On the other hand 23 of Leeds's 46 games this season ended with over 2.5 goals while 23 ended in under 2.5.
Those results mean Derby County's matches have a 0.4783 chance of ending with over 2.5 goals and 0.5217 chance for under. The figures are 0.5 and 0.5 for Leeds respectively.
The over or under 2.5 prediction for this match(with very good odds) is available on the VIP sure tips section for betting tips and fixed matches.
OVER 3.5 & UNDER 3.5 PREDICTION
Out of the 46 matches Derby County have played this season, 12 resulted in over 3.5 goals while 34 ended with under 3.5 goals. On the other hand 11 of Leeds's 46 games this season ended with over 3.5 goals while 35 ended in under 3.5.
Those results mean Derby County's matches have a 0.2609 chance of ending with over 3.5 goals and 0.7391 chance for under. The figures are 0.2391 and 0.7609 for Leeds respectively.
The over or under 3.5 sure prediction for this match is available on the VIP sure tips section for football betting tips and mega jackpot prediction.
OVER 4.5 & UNDER 4.5 PREDICTION
Among the 46 games Derby County played this season, 5 ended with over 4.5 goals while 41 resulted with under 4.5 goals. Similarly, 7 of Leeds's 46 matches this season ended with over 4.5 goals while 39 ended in under 4.5.
That mean Derby County's matches have a 0.1087 probability of ending with over 4.5 goals and 0.8913 chance for under. The figures are 0.1522 and 0.8478 for Leeds respectively.
The over or under 4.5 sure bet prediction for this match is under 4.5 goals.
OVER 5.5 & UNDER 5.5 PREDICTION
Out of 46 games Derby County took on this season, 3 ended with over 5.5 goals while 43 ended with under 5.5 goals. Similarly, 1 of Leeds's 46 games ended with over 5.5 goals while 45 ended in under 5.5.
That mean Derby County's matches have a 0.0652 probability of ending with over 5.5 goals and 0.9348 chance for under. The figures are 0.0217 and 0.9783 for Leeds respectively.
The over or under 5.5 sure bet prediction for this match is under 5.5 goals.
GOAL GOAL & NO GOAL PREDICTION (GG/NG TIPS)
Derby County boast of clean sheets in 11 games, 23% and scored at least one goal in 34 games, 73%. Leeds on the other hand recorded clean sheets in 16 games, 34% and managed to score in 40 games, 86%.
What this data means is that a match involving Derby County has a 0.5 chance of a NG and 0.5 chance of GG while a match involving Leeds has a 0.48 chance of No-Goal and a 0.52 chance for GG.
The probability of this game ending in NG is therefore 0.49 while the chance for it ending with a result of GG is 0.51.
The best and expert goal-goal prediction or no-goal(GG/NG) prediction for this game is on the VIP section where you can get up to 300 odds of sure football betting tips and predictions.
DERBY VS LEEDS LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Leeds and Derby County have met 6 times recently since 15-Oct-2016. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Leeds vs Derby County prediction.
Leeds won against Derby County(2-0) on 11-Jan-2019
Derby County lost to Leeds(1-4) on 11-Aug-2018
Derby County drew with Leeds(2-2) on 21-Feb-2018
Leeds lost to Derby County(1-2) on 31-Oct-2017
Leeds won against Derby County(1-0) on 13-Jan-2017
Derby County won against Leeds(1-0) on 15-Oct-2016
DERBY LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Derby's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Derby County won against West Bromwich(3-1) on 05-May-2019
Swansea drew with Derby County(1-1) on 01-May-2019
Bristol City lost to Derby County(0-2) on 27-Apr-2019
Derby County won against QPR(2-0) on 22-Apr-2019
Birmingham drew with Derby County(2-2) on 19-Apr-2019
Derby County won against Bolton(4-0) on 13-Apr-2019
Blackburn won against Derby County(2-0) on 09-Apr-2019
Brentford drew with Derby County(3-3) on 06-Apr-2019
Derby County won against Rotherham(6-1) on 30-Mar-2019
Derby County drew with Stoke(0-0) on 13-Mar-2019
LEEDS LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Leeds's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ipswich won against Leeds(3-2) on 05-May-2019
Leeds drew with Aston Villa(1-1) on 28-Apr-2019
Brentford won against Leeds(2-0) on 22-Apr-2019
Leeds lost to Wigan(1-2) on 19-Apr-2019
Leeds won against Sheffield Wednesday(1-0) on 13-Apr-2019
Preston lost to Leeds(0-2) on 09-Apr-2019
Birmingham won against Leeds(1-0) on 06-Apr-2019
Leeds won against Millwall(3-2) on 30-Mar-2019
Leeds lost to Sheffield United(0-1) on 16-Mar-2019
Reading lost to Leeds(0-3) on 12-Mar-2019
DERBY PLAYERS TO WATCH
Sure bet prediction, tips and even fixed matches all depend on the form of players. Below are Derby's players that have the potential of shaping the predictions and results for this game:
Harry Wilson - The Wales National Harry Wilson has scored 15 goals in 40 matches and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 2 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.38.
Martyn Waghorn - The England National Martyn Waghorn has scored 9 goals in 36 matches and shot 4 foul kicks. He has scored 3 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.25.
Mason Mount - The England National Mason Mount has scored 8 goals in 35 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.23.
Jack Marriott - The England National Jack Marriott has scored 7 goals in 33 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.21.
Tom Lawrence - The Wales National Tom Lawrence has scored 6 goals in 33 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.18.
Craig Bryson - The Scotland National Craig Bryson has scored 3 goals in 28 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.
LEEDS PLAYERS TO WATCH
The following Leeds players are crucial in determining the results of this game:
Kemar Roofe - The England National Kemar Roofe has scored 14 goals in 32 matches and shot 3 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.44.
Pablo Hernandez - The Spain National Pablo Hernandez has scored 12 goals in 39 matches and shot 2 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.31.
Mateusz Klich - The Poland National Mateusz Klich has scored 10 goals in 46 matches and shot 5 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.22.
Patrick Bamford - The England National Patrick Bamford has scored 9 goals in 22 matches and shot 5 foul kicks. He has scored 1 penalties. The forward's average goals per match is 0.41.
Ezgjan Alioski - The North Macedonia National Ezgjan Alioski has scored 7 goals in 44 matches and shot 0 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.16.
Jack Harrison - The England National Jack Harrison has scored 4 goals in 37 matches and shot 1 foul kicks. He has scored 0 penalties. The midfielder's average goals per match is 0.11.
THE SURE BET PREDICTION ODDS ARE AMONG THE FOLLOWING
This match has been allocated the following odds on average as per odd allocations on Sportpesa, Bwin, Betway, Betin, Betika, 1Xbet and others.
HERE IS WHAT TO DO
To get the mega jackpot predictions send 250/= to 0700926210. You can also get our sure bet predictions at no extra cost today. Remember we have various categories of sure bet predictions such as GG/NG tips
We also offer the following jackpot predictions:
And many other tips such as the fixed matches and VIP tips.
If you have any questions or queries feel free to contact us through the number 0700926210.
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