Lille vs Strasbourg Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Lille vs Strasbourg are playing on 21-Sep-24.
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Lille vs Strasbourg match, we are well convinced that Lille is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Strasbourg. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
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To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.65 with an implied bookmaker probability of 60.61%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Lille vs Strasbourg match is 49.75%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.86%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Lille vs Strasbourg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.65 where 1.65 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Lille vs Strasbourg, EV(Home Win) to be 49.75% * 100 * 1.65, which translates to 31.83. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Lille vs Strasbourg. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.24 with an implied bookmaker probability of 80.65%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Lille vs Strasbourg match is 69.96%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.68%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Lille vs Strasbourg match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.24 where 1.24 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Lille vs Strasbourg, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 69.96% * 100 * 1.24, which translates to 56.71. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
LILLE VS STRASBOURG PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Lille [1:0] Strasbourg Alsace
Strasbourg Alsace [2:1] Lille
Lille [2:0] Strasbourg Alsace
Strasbourg Alsace [0:3] Lille
Lille [1:0] Strasbourg Alsace
Strasbourg Alsace [1:2] Lille
Lille [1:1] Strasbourg Alsace
Strasbourg Alsace [0:3] Lille
Strasbourg Alsace [1:2] Lille
Lille [2:0] Strasbourg Alsace
LILLE'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Lille's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sporting Lisbon - Lille [2:0]
Saint-Etienne - Lille [1:0]
Lille - PSG [1:3]
Slavia Prague - Lille [2:1]
Lille - Angers [2:0]
Lille - Slavia Prague [2:0]
Reims - Lille [0:2]
Fenerbahce - Lille [1:1]
Lille - Fenerbahce [2:1]
Lille - Celta Vigo [3:1]
Wolfsburg - Lille [1:0]
Genk - Lille [2:2]
Gent - Lille [0:1]
Lille - Nice [2:2]
Nantes - Lille [1:2]
Lille - Lyon [3:4]
Metz - Lille [1:2]
Monaco - Lille [1:0]
Lille - Strasbourg Alsace [1:0]
Lille - Aston Villa [3:4]
Aston Villa - Lille [2:1]
Lille - Marseille [3:1]
Lille - Lens [2:1]
Stade Brest 29 - Lille [1:1]
Lille - Sturm Graz [1:1]
Lille - Stade Rennes [2:2]
Sturm Graz - Lille [0:3]
Reims - Lille [0:1]
Toulouse - Lille [3:1]
Lille - Le Havre [3:0]
STRASBOURG'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Strasbourg Alsace's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Strasbourg Alsace - Angers [1:1]
Lyon - Strasbourg Alsace [4:3]
Strasbourg Alsace - Stade Rennes [3:1]
Montpellier - Strasbourg Alsace [1:1]
M´gladbach - Strasbourg Alsace [1:0]
Strasbourg Alsace - Freiburg [2:2]
Karlsruhe - Strasbourg Alsace [4:1]
Fenerbahce - Strasbourg Alsace [4:0]
Strasbourg Alsace - Wolfsberg [0:0]
Strasbourg Alsace - 1860 Munich [1:2]
Lyon - Strasbourg Alsace [2:1]
Strasbourg Alsace - Metz [2:1]
Le Havre - Strasbourg Alsace [3:1]
Strasbourg Alsace - Nice [1:3]
Lille - Strasbourg Alsace [1:0]
Strasbourg Alsace - Reims [3:1]
Toulouse - Strasbourg Alsace [0:0]
Strasbourg Alsace - Stade Rennes [2:0]
Nantes - Strasbourg Alsace [1:3]
Strasbourg Alsace - Monaco [0:1]
Montpellier - Strasbourg Alsace [2:2]
Lyon - Strasbourg Alsace [4:3]
Strasbourg Alsace - Stade Brest 29 [0:3]
Strasbourg Alsace - Lorient [1:3]
Lens - Strasbourg Alsace [3:1]
Strasbourg Alsace - Le Havre [3:1]
Strasbourg Alsace - PSG [1:2]
Clermont Foot - Strasbourg Alsace [1:1]
Clermont Foot - Strasbourg Alsace [1:3]
Marseille - Strasbourg Alsace [1:1]
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