Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie are playing on 21-Sep-24.
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie match, we are well convinced that Racing Ferrol is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Albacete Balompie. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
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To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.36 with an implied bookmaker probability of 42.37%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie match is 37.72%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -4.65%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 2.36 where 2.36 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie, EV(Home Win) to be 37.72% * 100 * 2.36, which translates to 26.74. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.57333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.56%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie match is 68.45%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.89%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.57333333333333 where 1.57333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Racing Ferrol vs Albacete Balompie, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 68.45% * 100 * 1.57, which translates to 76.15. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
RACING FERROL VS ALBACETE BALOMPIE PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Albacete [1:1] Ferrol
Ferrol [5:4] Albacete
Albacete [2:1] Ferrol
Ferrol [1:1] Albacete
Albacete [1:2] Ferrol
Albacete [1:2] Ferrol
Ferrol [2:3] Albacete
Ferrol [2:1] Albacete
Albacete [2:0] Ferrol
Ferrol [2:0] Albacete
RACING FERROL'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Ferrol's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Cadiz - Ferrol [0:0]
Ferrol - Mirandes [0:0]
La Coruna - Ferrol [1:0]
Ferrol - Granada [0:1]
Ferrol - Malaga [2:2]
Real Madrid Castilla - Ferrol [0:3]
Ourense CF - Ferrol [1:0]
Bergantinos - Ferrol [0:0]
Andorra - Ferrol [1:0]
Ferrol - Leganes [2:2]
Zaragoza - Ferrol [2:2]
Ferrol - Alcorcon [2:1]
Tenerife - Ferrol [2:0]
Ferrol - Mirandes [0:2]
Villarreal B - Ferrol [1:0]
Ferrol - Huesca [2:1]
Amorebieta - Ferrol [3:1]
Ferrol - Elche [1:0]
Albacete - Ferrol [1:1]
Ferrol - Valladolid [2:0]
Cartagena - Ferrol [2:1]
Ferrol - Santander [2:2]
Eldense - Ferrol [2:0]
Ferrol - Levante [0:0]
Burgos - Ferrol [2:0]
Ferrol - Eibar [1:1]
Gijon - Ferrol [1:2]
Ferrol - Oviedo [1:3]
Ferrol - Espanyol [0:0]
Ferrol - Sevilla [1:2]
ALBACETE BALOMPIE'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Albacete's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Mirandes - Albacete [2:0]
Albacete - Eibar [0:1]
Malaga - Albacete [2:1]
Albacete - Elche [1:0]
Granada - Albacete [1:2]
Albacete - Cartagena [0:1]
Orihuela - Albacete [1:1]
Albacete - Valencia [1:0]
Albacete - Eldense [0:3]
Oviedo - Albacete [2:0]
Zaragoza - Albacete [1:1]
Albacete - Mirandes [2:2]
Villarreal B - Albacete [2:2]
Albacete - Leganes [1:0]
Andorra - Albacete [0:1]
Albacete - Eibar [2:1]
Eldense - Albacete [0:1]
Albacete - Tenerife [1:0]
Espanyol - Albacete [2:1]
Albacete - Huesca [1:1]
Albacete - Ferrol [1:1]
Elche - Albacete [3:2]
Albacete - Oviedo [1:2]
Gijon - Albacete [2:1]
Amorebieta - Albacete [1:1]
Albacete - Santander [2:0]
Valladolid - Albacete [0:0]
Albacete - Cartagena [1:1]
Burgos - Albacete [2:1]
Albacete - Alcorcon [0:1]
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