St. Gallen vs FC Luzern Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. St. Gallen vs FC Luzern are playing on 21-Sep-24.
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match, we are well convinced that St. Gallen is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against FC Luzern. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.88 with an implied bookmaker probability of 53.19%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is 42.25%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -10.94%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.88 where 1.88 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for St. Gallen vs FC Luzern, EV(Home Win) to be 42.25% * 100 * 1.88, which translates to 21.67. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both St. Gallen and FC Luzern have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.47 with an implied bookmaker probability of 68.03%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is 60.34%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -7.69%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.47 where 1.47 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for St. Gallen vs FC Luzern, EV(GG) to be 60.34% * 100 * 1.47, which translates to 49.03. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for St. Gallen vs FC Luzern. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 0.993333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 100.67%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is 80.18%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -20.49%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this St. Gallen vs FC Luzern match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 0.993333333333333 where 0.993333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for St. Gallen vs FC Luzern, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 80.18% * 100 * 0.99, which translates to 59.82. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
ST. GALLEN VS FC LUZERN PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
St. Gallen [1:1] Luzern
Luzern [1:0] St. Gallen
St. Gallen [2:1] Luzern
Luzern [1:1] St. Gallen
St. Gallen [2:2] Luzern
Luzern [3:3] St. Gallen
St. Gallen [4:1] Luzern
Luzern [3:2] St. Gallen
St. Gallen [3:2] Luzern
Luzern [2:0] St. Gallen
ST. GALLEN'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are St. Gallen's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
FC Paradiso - St. Gallen [1:3]
Lugano - St. Gallen [1:1]
Trabzonspor - St. Gallen [4:5]
St. Gallen - Trabzonspor [0:0]
Malcantone - St. Gallen [0:4]
Slask Wroclaw - St. Gallen [3:2]
St. Gallen - Grasshopper [1:0]
St. Gallen - Slask Wroclaw [2:0]
Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen [3:4]
Tobol - St. Gallen [0:1]
St. Gallen - Young Boys [4:0]
St. Gallen - Tobol [4:1]
Winterthur - St. Gallen [1:0]
Vaduz - St. Gallen [0:1]
Rapperswil-Jona - St. Gallen [3:1]
Uni Craiova - St. Gallen [1:2]
St. Gallen - Ludogorets [0:2]
Kreuzlingen - St. Gallen [0:9]
St. Gallen - Zurich [1:2]
Winterthur - St. Gallen [1:3]
Young Boys - St. Gallen [3:1]
St. Gallen - Servette Geneva [1:1]
Lugano - St. Gallen [0:1]
Zurich - St. Gallen [0:1]
St. Gallen - Yverdon-Sport [5:1]
St. Gallen - Young Boys [2:2]
Lausanne-Sport - St. Gallen [3:3]
St. Gallen - Luzern [1:1]
Grasshopper - St. Gallen [1:1]
St. Gallen - Lugano [2:3]
FC LUZERN'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Luzern's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Aarau - Luzern [1:0]
Vaduz - Luzern [1:0]
Zurich - Luzern [1:1]
Luzern - Winterthur [3:0]
Mendrisio - Luzern [1:4]
Lugano - Luzern [2:3]
Luzern - Sion [1:0]
Grasshopper - Luzern [2:2]
Luzern - Servette Geneva [1:2]
Luzern - Stuttgart [0:0]
Cham - Luzern [0:2]
Luzern - Schaffhausen [1:1]
Luzern - SCR Altach [2:1]
Luzern - Lausanne Ouchy [1:2]
Yverdon-Sport - Luzern [3:1]
Lausanne-Sport - Luzern [0:2]
Luzern - Grasshopper [1:1]
Basel - Luzern [1:1]
Luzern - Basel [1:1]
Young Boys - Luzern [4:2]
Luzern - Lausanne-Sport [0:0]
Luzern - Yverdon-Sport [1:0]
St. Gallen - Luzern [1:1]
Luzern - Sion [2:1]
Luzern - Servette Geneva [2:2]
Lausanne Ouchy - Luzern [2:1]
Luzern - Lugano [0:1]
Grasshopper - Luzern [0:1]
Luzern - Zurich [0:1]
Winterthur - Luzern [2:1]
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