Utrecht vs Willem II Prediction with match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Utrecht vs Willem II are playing on 21-Sep-24.
HOME WIN TIPS
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Utrecht vs Willem II match, we are well convinced that Utrecht is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Willem II. The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win.
Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.58 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.29%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is 51.84%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -11.46%.
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(Home Win) * 100* 1.58 where 1.58 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Utrecht vs Willem II, EV(Home Win) to be 51.84% * 100 * 1.58, which translates to 33.73. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Utrecht and Willem II have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.
To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.81 with an implied bookmaker probability of 55.25%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is 59.89%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 4.64%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.81 where 1.81 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Utrecht vs Willem II, EV(GG) to be 59.89% * 100 * 1.81, which translates to 68.29. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Utrecht vs Willem II. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.14666666666667 with an implied bookmaker probability of 87.21%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is 81.63%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -5.57%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Utrecht vs Willem II match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.14666666666667 where 1.14666666666667 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Utrecht vs Willem II, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 81.63% * 100 * 1.14, which translates to 75.24. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
UTRECHT VS WILLEM II PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Willem II [3:0] Utrecht
Utrecht [5:1] Willem II
Utrecht [3:2] Willem II
Willem II [0:6] Utrecht
Willem II [1:1] Utrecht
Utrecht [2:0] Willem II
Utrecht [0:1] Willem II
Willem II [0:1] Utrecht
Willem II [3:2] Utrecht
Utrecht [2:0] Willem II
UTRECHT'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Utrecht's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Utrecht - Enschede [2:1]
Breda - Utrecht [1:2]
Heerenveen - Utrecht [1:1]
Utrecht - Zwolle [1:0]
Utrecht - Venezia [1:2]
Schalke - Utrecht [0:2]
Utrecht - Al Rayyan [4:1]
Utrecht - Silkeborg [2:2]
Usv Elinkwijk - Utrecht [2:4]
Utrecht - GA Eagles [1:2]
Utrecht - Sparta [3:1]
Alkmaar - Utrecht [3:3]
Utrecht - Sparta [0:1]
Utrecht - Vitesse [1:0]
Waalwijk - Utrecht [2:2]
Utrecht - GA Eagles [2:1]
Heerenveen - Utrecht [2:3]
Utrecht - Zwolle [5:1]
Feyenoord - Utrecht [4:2]
Utrecht - Helmond [3:0]
Utrecht - Nijmegen [1:0]
Almere - Utrecht [1:1]
Ajax - Utrecht [2:0]
Utrecht - Heracles Almelo [1:0]
Enschede - Utrecht [0:1]
Utrecht - Sittard [4:0]
Utrecht - Volendam [4:2]
Excelsior - Utrecht [1:1]
Utrecht - Eindhoven [1:1]
Vitesse - Utrecht [0:0]
WILLEM II'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Willem II's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Willem II - Waalwijk [3:0]
Willem II - Sparta [1:2]
Heracles Almelo - Willem II [1:1]
Willem II - GA Eagles [2:0]
Feyenoord - Willem II [1:1]
Bristol City - Willem II [0:0]
Willem II - Sparta [2:4]
Willem II - Lommel [5:0]
Dordrecht - Willem II [4:4]
Willem II - Telstar [3:2]
Dordrecht - Willem II [1:1]
Willem II - Groningen [1:1]
Maastricht - Willem II [1:1]
Willem II - Alkmaar [4:1]
Utrecht - Willem II [1:1]
Helmond - Willem II [0:2]
Willem II - Venlo [2:0]
Den Bosch - Willem II [1:4]
Willem II - FC Eindhoven [3:0]
Emmen - Willem II [2:0]
Willem II - Roda [2:3]
Willem II - Den Haag [2:1]
De Graafschap - Willem II [0:2]
Willem II - Cambuur [1:1]
PSV - Willem II [1:1]
Willem II - Ajax [1:1]
Oss - Willem II [0:5]
Breda - Willem II [1:2]
Willem II - Groningen [1:3]
Willem II - Helmond [4:1]
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