WHAT IS THE PROBABILITY OF WINNING THE SPORTPESA MEGA JACKPOT

1 in 129,1401,63 or 0.0000007744%

That is the probability of winning the Sportpesa mega jackpot.

Well if you thought it was easier, then you might as well be right. The above probability is purely mathematical and does not account for any human factors such as experience, knowledge of factors that affect the outcome of a match or the power of human instinct.

CALCULATION

To reach at that number as the precise mathematical probability of winning the Sportpesa jackpot, you need to understand the concept of combinations and permutations.

The probability of winning the Sportpesa mega jackpot is very small

First you have to understand that the number of the Sportpesa mega jackpot matches at any time is usually 17. These are football matches that have 3 possible outcomes:

1. Home Win

2. Draw

3. Away Win

If you were to bet on a single football match, then assuming that the probability for each of the 3 possible outcomes is equal then your chances of winning your bet is 1/3 or 33.33%.

If the number of matches you need to predict is increased from one to two then the possible combination of outcomes increases to 9. Let us assume the matches are for teams A vs B and C vs D.

For those 2 games the possible outcomes are:

· A wins and C wins

· A wins, B and C draw

· A wins, D wins

· A and B draw, C and D draw

· A and B draw, C wins

· A and B draw, D wins

· B wins, C Wins

· B wins, D wins

· B wins, C and D draws

Making a similar list for 3 matches the number of outcomes increases from 9 to 27.

This may be quite shocking to you if you didn’t expect the number of possible outcomes to increase so drastically with increase in the number of matches.

All this is so because the increase in the possible outcomes is exponential. The following formula is used to calculate the possible outcomes:

3^y

This is read as “3 to the power of y”, where y is the number of matches in a jackpot.

Using the above formula and the knowledge that the number of matches in the Sportpesa mega jackpot is 17, then we easily calculate the probability of the jackpot as follows:

3^17

The result from the above expression is 129,1401,63.

That, therefore is the number of possible outcomes for any Sportpesa mega jackpot. If you place one mega jackpot prediction, then you have 1 in 129,1401,63 chance of winning the jackpot.

This should however not discourage you from participating in this jackpot. As I said before, this is purely a mathematical approach that does not cater for human factors. There are many tricks and secrets of winning the Sportpesa mega jackpot. If you use them then your probability of winning the megajackpot increases drastically.

After all, your aim is not solely to win the full mega jackpot amount, there are Sportpesa jackpot bonuses that may be less attractive than the full jackpot amount but definitely easier to win. That is incentive enough to keep playing the Sportpesa mega jackpot despite ALL ODDS.

You can increase your chances of winning the Sportpesa mega jackpot if you use our jackpot tips.

To get Sportpesa mega jackpot predictions from Surebet send Ksh. 250 to till number 5327441.