AFTURELDING vs IF VESTRI SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Afturelding vs If Vestri sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Iceland, 1 deild match on 19-Aug-2021
Afturelding
DATE:
19 August 2021 at 21:00:00
If Vestri
COUNTRY:
Iceland
LEAGUE
1 deild
TIME:
9:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
44%
AVR. ODDS:
2.3
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.83
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
2.6
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Afturelding vs If Vestri match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 34.57% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 44.33% probability for the same outccome.
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The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 52.62% chance for a home win outcome. This Afturelding vs If Vestri match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.3 with an implied bookmaker probability of 43.48%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Afturelding vs If Vestri match is 43.84%, meaning this bet is a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.36%. Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Afturelding vs If Vestri match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 2.3 where 2.3 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Afturelding vs If Vestri, EV(Home Win) to be 43.84% * 100 * 2.3, which translates to 44.67. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Afturelding vs If Vestri match, we are well convinced that Afturelding is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against If Vestri.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
52%
2.75
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
0.93
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
4.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
43%
AVR. ODDS:
1.43
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
57%
2.65
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
2.51
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
77%
AVR. ODDS:
1.98
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
AFTURELDING VS IF VESTRI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Afturelding and If Vestri have met 6 times recently since 09-Sep-2017. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Afturelding vs If Vestri prediction.
23/06/21 - Afturelding [1 : 2] IF Vestri
06-Dec-2021 - IF Vestri [2 : 1] Afturelding
15/08/20 - Afturelding [0 : 0] IF Vestri
08-Nov-2018 - Afturelding [0 : 0] IF Vestri
27/05/18 - IF Vestri [1 : 3] Afturelding
09-Sep-2017 - IF Vestri [4 : 2] Afturelding
AFTURELDING LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Afturelding's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Fjolnir won against Afturelding (3-0) on 14/08/21
Then Kordrengir won against Afturelding (2-1) on 08-Oct-2021
Afturelding won against Thor A (2-0) on 08-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Vestmannaeyjar won against Afturelding (2-0) on 31/07/21
Afturelding won against Vikingur O (6-1) on 15/07/21
Afturelding lost to Fram R (0-2) on 07-Sep-2021
Then Grindavik drew with Afturelding (3-3) on 07-May-2021
Afturelding won against Grotta (2-1) on 07-Jan-2021
Throttur R lost to Afturelding (1-3) on 26/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Afturelding lost to IF Vestri (1-2) on 23/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are If Vestri's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
IF Vestri lost to Fram R (0-1) on 14/08/21
IF Vestri won against Thor A (4-0) on 08-Oct-2021
Then Grindavik lost to IF Vestri (1-2) on 08-Jun-2021
IF Vestri won against Grotta (4-3) on 28/07/21
IF Vestri lost to Selfoss (1-2) on 24/07/21
Then IF Vestri won against Throttur R (2-1) on 17/07/21
Kordrengir won against IF Vestri (2-0) on 07-Oct-2021
IF Vestri won against Fjolnir (2-1) on 07-Apr-2021
Once more Thor A drew with IF Vestri (1-1) on 07-Jan-2021
IF Vestri lost to Vestmannaeyjar (0-3) on 27/06/21
AFTURELDING'S POSITION
Afturelding is in position 9 with 19 points from 16 matches. They are below Thor A who have 19 points and above Selfoss who have 15 points.
have scored 30 goals and conceded 31 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.
IF VESTRI'S POSITION
IF Vestri is in position 5 with 25 points from 16 matches. They are below Fjolnir who have 26 points and above Grotta who have 23 points.
If Vestri have scored 25 goals and conceded 29 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -4 goals this season.
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