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AVALDSNES W vs STABAEK W SURE PREDICTION

A detailed Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Norway, Toppserien, Women match on 15-Jul-2021

Avaldsnes W

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DATE:

15 July 2021 at 19:00:00

Stabaek W

COUNTRY:

Norway

LEAGUE

Toppserien, Women

TIME:

7:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

26%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

19%

AVR. ODDS:

4.04

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

3.85

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Stabaek W is expected to outperform Avaldsnes W in this match. Home advantage may not help Avaldsnes W in this game. With odds of 3.85 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip.


This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W match.


The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 44.93% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.72% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 49.68% chance for a away win outcome. This Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.


To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. 

The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.85 with an implied bookmaker probability of 25.97%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W match is 48.44%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 22.47%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W match is calculated as follows:


Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 3.85 where 3.85 are the decimal odds for this outcome.


Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Avaldsnes W vs Stabaek W, EV(Away Win) to be 48.44% * 100 * 3.85, which translates to 134.94. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.


This is a prediction with a 90% assurance. Subscribe to VIP tips with 95% assurance or the best package of all, fixed matches 100% sure.


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AVALDSNES W vs STABAEK W SURE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.49

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

22%

2.43

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.95

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

4.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

73%

AVR. ODDS:

1.46

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

20%

2.5

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

2.56

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

34%

AVR. ODDS:

1.87

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

AVALDSNES W VS STABAEK W LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Stabaek and Avaldsnes have met 6 times recently since 05-Jul-2017. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Stabaek vs Avaldsnes prediction.
08-Oct-2019 - Stabaek [0 : 0] Avaldsnes
05-Nov-2019 - Avaldsnes [4 : 0] Stabaek
11-Apr-2018 - Avaldsnes [2 : 0] Stabaek
05-Jan-2018 - Stabaek [4 : 2] Avaldsnes
15/10/17 - Stabaek [2 : 1] Avaldsnes
05-Jul-2017 - Avaldsnes [2 : 1] Stabaek

AVALDSNES W LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Avaldsnes W's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Avaldsnes won against Klepp (3-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Then Arna-Bjornar won against Avaldsnes (3-0) on 07-Mar-2021
Avaldsnes lost to Lyn (0-1) on 30/06/21
Not surprisingly Avaldsnes won against Kolbotn (3-1) on 26/06/21
Rosenborg won against Avaldsnes (1-0) on 22/06/21
Avaldsnes lost to LSK Kvinner (2-3) on 06-May-2021
Then Sandviken won against Avaldsnes (3-0) on 29/05/21
Valerenga won against Avaldsnes (5-3) on 22/05/21
Sandviken won against Avaldsnes (4-0) on 12-Jun-2020
In the earliest match listed here Valerenga won against Avaldsnes (4-0) on 22/11/20

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Stabaek W's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Stabaek lost to Arna-Bjornar (0-3) on 07-Oct-2021
LSK Kvinner won against Stabaek (4-0) on 07-Mar-2021
Then Stabaek lost to Valerenga (0-5) on 30/06/21
Lyn drew with Stabaek (2-2) on 26/06/21
Kolbotn lost to Stabaek (1-2) on 19/06/21
Then Stabaek lost to Sandviken (1-2) on 06-May-2021
Klepp won against Stabaek (1-0) on 30/05/21
Rosenborg won against Stabaek (2-0) on 22/05/21
Once more Stabaek lost to LSK Kvinner (1-2) on 02-Jul-2021
Stabaek won against Amazon Grimstad (9-1) on 15/11/20

AVALDSNES W'S POSITION

Avaldsnes is in position 7 with 6 points from 8 matches. They are below Lyn who have 7 points and above Kolbotn who have 6 points.
have scored 11 goals and conceded 17 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -6 goals this season.

STABAEK W'S POSITION

No position Listed for this team.

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