BARANOVICHI vs LIDA PREDICTION
A detailed Baranovichi vs Lida sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Belarus, Pervaya Liga match on 27-Aug-2021
Baranovichi
Lida
DATE:
28 August 2021 at 16:30:00
TIME:
4:30 PM
COUNTRY:
Belarus
LEAGUE
Pervaya Liga
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
2.97
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
DRAW:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
3.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.08496732026144 with an implied bookmaker probability of 92.17%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Baranovichi vs Lida match is 70.66%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -21.51%Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Baranovichi vs Lida match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.08496732026144 where 1.08496732026144 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Baranovichi vs Lida, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 70.66% * 100 * 1.08, which translates to 47.32.
This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Baranovichi vs Lida match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 70.01% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome.
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The ELO Ratings model came through with a 70.66% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 71.31% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Baranovichi vs Lida match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Baranovichi vs Lida. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.56
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
2.27
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.08
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
29%
AVR. ODDS:
3.82
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
45%
AVR. ODDS:
1.66
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
55%
AVR. ODDS:
2.1
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
24%
AVR. ODDS:
2.91
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
76%
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
BARANOVICHI VS LIDA LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Lida and Baranovichi have met 6 times recently since 10-Jul-2017. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Lida vs Baranovichi prediction.
13/06/21 - Lida [1 : 2] Baranovichi
28/09/19 - Lida [6 : 1] Baranovichi
25/05/19 - Baranovichi [0 : 1] Lida
29/09/18 - Baranovichi [0 : 1] Lida
06-Feb-2018 - Lida [2 : 1] Baranovichi
10-Jul-2017 - Lida [0 : 0] Baranovichi
BARANOVICHI LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Baranovichi's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Baranovichi lost to Orsha (0-3) on 22/08/21
Then Baranovichi drew with Lokomotiv (1-1) on 15/08/21
Baranovichi lost to Shakhtar Petrikov (0-2) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Baranovichi lost to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk (1-2) on 31/07/21
Baranovichi won against Krumkachy Minsk (3-1) on 24/07/21
Baranovichi won against FC Slonim (1-0) on 18/07/21
Then Baranovichi won against Dnepr Mogilev (1-0) on 07-Nov-2021
Baranovichi lost to Naftan Novopolotsk (1-6) on 07-Apr-2021
Belshina won against Baranovichi (2-0) on 28/06/21
In the earliest match listed here Baranovichi lost to Bate Borisov (1-6) on 22/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Lida's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Lida drew with Volna Pinsk (0-0) on 21/08/21
Lida lost to Orsha (0-2) on 15/08/21
Then Lida lost to Shakhtar Petrikov (1-3) on 31/07/21
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk drew with Lida (1-1) on 25/07/21
Lida drew with Krumkachy Minsk (1-1) on 17/07/21
Then FC Slonim won against Lida (1-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Lida drew with Dnepr Mogilev (0-0) on 07-Apr-2021
Lida lost to Naftan Novopolotsk (1-2) on 28/06/21
Once more Lida lost to Dinamo Minsk (0-3) on 23/06/21
Belshina won against Lida (4-2) on 19/06/21
BARANOVICHI'S POSITION
Baranovichi is in position 10 with 14 points from 19 matches. They are below Orsha who have 23 points and above who have points.
have scored 16 goals and conceded 39 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -23 goals this season.
LIDA'S POSITION
Lida is in position 11 with 14 points from 18 matches. They are below who have points and above FC Slonim who have 11 points.
Lida have scored 16 goals and conceded 31 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -15 goals this season.
BARANOVICHI'S BEST PLAYERS
No notable players
LIDA'S BEST PLAYERS
No notable players
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