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BARCELONA vs GETAFE PREDICTION

A detailed Barcelona vs Getafe OVER 1.5 sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Spain, Primera Division match on 29-Aug-2021

Barcelona

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DATE:

29 August 2021 at 18:00:00

Getafe

COUNTRY:

Spain

LEAGUE

Primera Division

TIME:

6:00 PM

Brescia logo.png

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

78%

AVR. ODDS:

1.46

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

12%

AVR. ODDS:

4.52

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

7%

AVR. ODDS:

6.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Given the historical matches of these teams, it is almost clear that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Barcelona vs Getafe.


Also see correct scores today


The over/under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible over 1.5 in this Barcelona vs Getafe match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 87.30% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 85.67% chance for the same. Finally, 83.54% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in over 1.5. 



This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a over 1.5 in this game. The odds for Over 1.5 outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.09150326797386 with an implied bookmaker probability of 91.62%. Considering that the surebet probability for the OVER 1.5 outcome for this Barcelona vs Getafe match is 85.50%, then this bet is not a value bet.If you play this bet then you lose expected value by -6.12%The expected value for a OVER 1.5 prediction is denoted as EV(OVER 1.5) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 in this Barcelona vs Getafe match is 78.82 which is positive and therefore a good bet.


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BARCELONA vs GETAFE PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

49%

AVR. ODDS:

1.93

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

48%

1.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.09

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

11%

AVR. ODDS:

3.78

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

69%

AVR. ODDS:

1.67

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

28%

2.08

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

49%

AVR. ODDS:

2.93

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

48%

AVR. ODDS:

1.55

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

BARCELONA VS GETAFE LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Barcelona and Getafe have met 6 times recently since 01-Jun-2019. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Barcelona vs Getafe prediction.
22/04/21 - Barcelona [5 : 2] Getafe
17/10/20 - Getafe [1 : 0] Barcelona
15/02/20 - Barcelona [2 : 1] Getafe
28/09/19 - Getafe [0 : 2] Barcelona
05-Dec-2019 - Barcelona [2 : 0] Getafe
01-Jun-2019 - Getafe [1 : 2] Barcelona

BARCELONA LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Barcelona's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Bilbao drew with Barcelona (1-1) on 21/08/21
Then Barcelona won against Real Sociedad (4-2) on 15/08/21
Barcelona won against Juventus (3-0) on 08-Aug-2021
Not surprisingly Salzburg won against Barcelona (2-1) on 08-Apr-2021
Stuttgart lost to Barcelona (0-3) on 31/07/21
Barcelona won against Girona (3-1) on 24/07/21
Then Barcelona won against Gimnastic (4-0) on 21/07/21
Eibar lost to Barcelona (0-1) on 22/05/21
Barcelona lost to Celta Vigo (1-2) on 16/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Levante drew with Barcelona (3-3) on 05-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Getafe's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Getafe lost to Sevilla (0-1) on 23/08/21
Valencia won against Getafe (1-0) on 13/08/21
Then Brighton lost to Getafe (0-2) on 08-Jul-2021
Zaragoza lost to Getafe (5-6) on 08-Apr-2021
Fuenlabrada lost to Getafe (0-1) on 30/07/21
Then Getafe won against Atromitos Athinon (3-0) on 24/07/21
Getafe won against Stade Rennes (2-1) on 21/07/21
Granada drew with Getafe (0-0) on 23/05/21
Once more Getafe won against Levante (2-1) on 16/05/21
Celta Vigo won against Getafe (1-0) on 05-Dec-2021

BARCELONA'S POSITION

Barcelona is in position 4 with 4 points from 2 matches. They are below Real Madrid who have 4 points and above Mallorca who have 4 points.
have scored 5 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 2 goals this season.

GETAFE'S POSITION

Getafe is in position 18 with 0 points from 2 matches. They are below Elche who have 1 points and above Alaves who have 0 points.
Getafe have scored 0 goals and conceded 2 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -2 goals this season.

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