Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie Surebet prediction Correc Score
Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie are playing on 04-Dec-21
Dunajska Streda
DATE:
4 December 2021 at 17:00:00
Fk Pohronie
COUNTRY:
Slovakia
LEAGUE
Superliga
TIME:
5:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
47%
AVR. ODDS:
1.24
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
22%
AVR. ODDS:
5.93
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
31%
AVR. ODDS:
10.87
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Fk Pohronie is expected to outperform Dunajska Streda in this match. Home advantage may not help Dunajska Streda in this game.
With odds of 3.52 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets.
Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 52.57% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 53.95% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 55.16% chance for a away win outcome. This Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.52 with an implied bookmaker probability of 28.41%.
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The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is 53.89%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 25.48%Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 3.52 where 3.52 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie, EV(Away Win) to be 53.89% * 100 * 3.52, which translates to 143.59. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Dunajska Streda and Fk Pohronie will probably not score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). If recent outcomes for mathes played by these teams both at home and away is anything to go by, then both Dunajska Streda and Fk Pohronie have no chance scoring each other.
This is going to be a low scoring match and one team will walk away goalless. The GG/NG tips for this game is therefore No-goal. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a ng in this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 59.60% probability for a NG outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 55.59% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 51.76% chance for a ng outcome. This Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Ng bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied NG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 2.16 with an implied bookmaker probability of 46.30%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is 55.65%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 9.35%.
Expected Value, EV(NG), for a NG result for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is calculated as follows: Let P(NG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(NG) * 100* 2.16 where 2.16 are the decimal odds for this outcome.
Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a NG for Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie, EV(NG) to be 55.65% * 100 * 2.16, which translates to 75.85. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 63.89% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 68.35% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 72.30% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.126 with an implied bookmaker probability of 88.76%.
The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is 68.18%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -20.58%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.12 where 1.126 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Dunajska Streda vs Fk Pohronie, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 68.18% * 100 * 1.12, which translates to 44.98. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
67%
AVR. ODDS:
2.09
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
33%
1.66
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.03
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
14%
AVR. ODDS:
2.82
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
67%
AVR. ODDS:
1.55
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
32%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
2.72
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
54%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
DUNAJSKA STREDA VS FK POHRONIE PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Ziar Nad Hronom and Dunajska Streda have met 6 times recently since 28/08/13. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Ziar Nad Hronom vs Dunajska Streda prediction.
27/08/21 - Ziar Nad Hronom [0 : 3] Dunajska Streda
11-Jul-2020 - Dunajska Streda [0 : 0] Ziar Nad Hronom
08-Dec-2020 - Ziar Nad Hronom [1 : 2] Dunajska Streda
26/10/19 - Ziar Nad Hronom [0 : 2] Dunajska Streda
28/07/19 - Dunajska Streda [5 : 1] Ziar Nad Hronom
28/08/13 - Dunajska Streda [6 : 1] Ziar Nad Hronom
DUNAJSKA STREDA'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Dunajska Streda's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Trencin lost to Dunajska Streda (0-1) on 27/11/21
Then Dunajska Streda won against Senica (1-0) on 20/11/21
Dunajska Streda lost to Sered (1-3) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Liptovsky Mikulas won against Dunajska Streda (1-0) on 30/10/21
Dunajska Streda won against Michalovce (1-0) on 24/10/21
Zilina lost to Dunajska Streda (0-2) on 16/10/21
Then Dunajska Streda won against Zlate Moravce (4-2) on 10-Jan-2021
Dunajska Streda lost to Trnava (0-3) on 26/09/21
Komarno won against Dunajska Streda (4-3) on 22/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Ruzomberok lost to Dunajska Streda (1-2) on 18/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Dunajska Streda's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Zlate Moravce (0-2) on 27/11/21
Then Sered won against Ziar Nad Hronom (3-1) on 20/11/21
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Zilina (1-2) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Michalovce lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-2) on 30/10/21
Ziar Nad Hronom lost to Trnava (0-2) on 23/10/21
Banik Lehota lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-1) on 20/10/21
Then Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Ruzomberok (2-2) on 16/10/21
Slovan Bratislava won against Ziar Nad Hronom (5-1) on 10-Mar-2021
Ziar Nad Hronom drew with Trencin (2-2) on 24/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Namestovo lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-3) on 21/09/21
DUNAJSKA STREDA POSITION
Dunajska Streda is in position 4 with 27 points from 16 matches. They are below Ruzomberok who have 30 points and above Zilina who have 23 points.
Dunajska Streda have scored 22 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 3 goals this season.
FK POHRONIE POSITION
Ziar Nad Hronom is in position 12 with 9 points from 16 matches. They are below Liptovsky Mikulas who have 14 points.
Fk Pohronie have scored 14 goals and conceded 34 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -20 goals this season.
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