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Elfsborg vs Norrkoping Prediction

Elfsborg vs Norrkoping Predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Elfsborg vs Norrkoping are playing on 19-Sep-24.

Elfsborg

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Norrkoping

DATE:

TIME:

20:00�

COUNTRY:

Sweden

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LEAGUE

Allsvenskan

1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

0.485

AVR. ODDS:

1.34

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

DRAW:

0.232

AVR. ODDS:

5.2

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

0.280

AVR. ODDS:

7.4

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH




GG TIPS
Historical data, H2H matches and results from similar and related past matches, Surebet GG prediction systems have all agreed that both teams will be able to score in this match. Both Elfsborg and Norrkoping have good striking and have equally vulnerable defenses. I do not forsee a NG outcome for this game. The GG rediction for this game is both teams to score at leat one goal in this game.


To find if the Gg bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied GG bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.75 with an implied bookmaker probability of 57.14%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Gg outcome for this Elfsborg vs Norrkoping match is 57.31%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 0.17%.
Expected Value, EV(GG), for a GG result for this Elfsborg vs Norrkoping match is calculated as follows:
Let P(GG) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(GG) * 100* 1.75 where 1.75 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a GG for Elfsborg vs Norrkoping, EV(GG) to be 57.31% * 100 * 1.75, which translates to 57.61. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

OVER 1.5 TIPS
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Elfsborg vs Norrkoping. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals.


To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 0.973333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 102.74%.

The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Elfsborg vs Norrkoping match is 79.20%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -23.54%.
Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Elfsborg vs Norrkoping match is calculated as follows:
Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is;
P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 0.973333333333333 where 0.973333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome.

Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Elfsborg vs Norrkoping, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 79.20% * 100 * 0.97, which translates to 56.27. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.

Elfsborg vs Norrkoping Prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

0.573

AVR. ODDS:

1.75

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

0.423

AVR. ODDS:

1.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

0.97

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

0.204

AVR. ODDS:

2.65

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

0.567

AVR. ODDS:

1.46

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

0.429

AVR. ODDS:

2.46

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

0.344

AVR. ODDS:

2.56

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

0.652

AVR. ODDS:

1.84

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

ELFSBORG VS NORRKOPING PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Norrkoping [4:2] Elfsborg
Elfsborg [3:2] Norrkoping
Norrkoping [1:2] Elfsborg
Elfsborg [1:1] Norrkoping
Norrkoping [2:2] Elfsborg
Norrkoping [3:2] Elfsborg
Elfsborg [1:0] Norrkoping
Elfsborg [2:1] Norrkoping
Norrkoping [1:1] Elfsborg
Norrkoping [2:0] Elfsborg

ELFSBORG'S LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Elfsborg's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Halmstad - Elfsborg [0:1]
Brommapojkarna - Elfsborg [3:3]
Elfsborg - Molde [4:2]
Elfsborg - Goteborg [3:1]
Molde - Elfsborg [0:1]
Mjallby - Elfsborg [1:1]
Elfsborg - Rijeka [2:0]
Elfsborg - GAIS [2:1]
Rijeka - Elfsborg [1:1]
Elfsborg - Tiraspol [2:0]
Elfsborg - Djurgarden [1:2]
Tiraspol - Elfsborg [0:1]
Elfsborg - Mjallby [3:1]
Pafos - Elfsborg [2:5]
Hacken Gothenburg - Elfsborg [3:5]
Elfsborg - Pafos [3:0]
Elfsborg - Brommapojkarna [3:0]
Elfsborg - Fredrikstad [0:0]
Goteborg - Elfsborg [1:0]
Malmo - Elfsborg [2:1]
Elfsborg - Halmstad [2:0]
GAIS - Elfsborg [2:1]
Elfsborg - AIK [6:1]
Djurgarden - Elfsborg [2:0]
Elfsborg - Malmo [3:1]
Elfsborg - Sirius [2:0]
Norrkoping - Elfsborg [4:2]
Elfsborg - Kalmar [1:2]
Hammarby - Elfsborg [3:0]
Vasteraas - Elfsborg [0:1]

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Norrkoping's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Hammarby - Norrkoping [1:1]
Norrkoping - Hacken Gothenburg [3:3]
Norrkoping - Mjallby [1:2]
Pitea - Norrkoping [1:3]
Malmo - Norrkoping [2:1]
Norrkoping - Vasteraas [2:1]
GAIS - Norrkoping [0:1]
Norrkoping - Kalmar [2:0]
Norrkoping - Halmstad [1:0]
Vasteraas - Norrkoping [2:1]
Norrkoping - Djurgarden [1:3]
Goteborg - Norrkoping [1:0]
Sirius - Norrkoping [5:1]
Norrkoping - Varnamo [0:4]
Brommapojkarna - Norrkoping [2:1]
Kalmar - Norrkoping [1:1]
Norrkoping - Hammarby [1:2]
AIK - Norrkoping [6:2]
Hacken Gothenburg - Norrkoping [1:2]
Norrkoping - Elfsborg [4:2]
Goteborg - Norrkoping [1:1]
Norrkoping - GAIS [1:0]
Mjallby - Norrkoping [3:0]
Norrkoping - Malmo [1:5]
Norrkoping - Gefle [5:2]
Malmo - Norrkoping [5:2]
Sirius - Norrkoping [2:2]
Norrkoping - Utsiktens [4:0]
Norrkoping - Brage [1:1]
Norrkoping - Brann [1:1]

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