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Hungerford Town vs Dartford prediction

Hungerford Town vs Dartford predictionwith match analysis, statistics and betting tips. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Hungerford Town vs Dartford are playing on England Amateur

Hungerford Town

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DATE:

15 February 2022 at 22:45:00

Dartford

COUNTRY:

England Amateur

LEAGUE

National League South

TIME:

10:45 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

27%

AVR. ODDS:

3.79

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

20%

AVR. ODDS:

3.41

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

52%

AVR. ODDS:

1.82

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Dartford is expected to outperform Hungerford Town in this match. Home advantage may not help Hungerford Town in this game. With odds of 1.58 you stand to win a fairly good amount from this tip. This is the best sure bet prediction for this match. Note that you should also consider other betting markets other than 1X2 predictions or bets. Asian handicaps and European handicaps, for instance, can make you better profits from a match like this. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a away win in this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 57.06% probability for a Away Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 65.56% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 75.33% chance for a away win outcome. This Hungerford Town vs Dartford match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Away Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Away Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.58 with an implied bookmaker probability of 63.29%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Away Win outcome for this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match is 65.98%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 2.69%. Expected Value, EV(Away Win), for a Away Win result for this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match is calculated as follows: Let P(Away Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Away Win) * 100* 1.58 where 1.58 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Away Win for Hungerford Town vs Dartford, EV(Away Win) to be 65.98% * 100 * 1.58, which translates to 70.23. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically. Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Hungerford Town vs Dartford. The over OR under 1.5 goals tips for this match is therefore clearly, over 1.5 goals. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a over 1.5 in this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 88.40% probability for a OVER 1.5 outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 82.87% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 73.86% chance for a over 1.5 outcome. This Hungerford Town vs Dartford match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Over 1.5 bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied OVER 1.5 bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.07333333333333 with an implied bookmaker probability of 93.17%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Over 1.5 outcome for this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match is 81.71%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -11.46%. Expected Value, EV(OVER 1.5), for a OVER 1.5 result for this Hungerford Town vs Dartford match is calculated as follows: Let P(OVER 1.5) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(OVER 1.5) * 100* 1.07333333333333 where 1.07333333333333 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a OVER 1.5 for Hungerford Town vs Dartford, EV(OVER 1.5) to be 81.71% * 100 * 1.07, which translates to 69.4. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Hungerford Town vs Dartford prediction

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

71%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

27%

1.94

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.24

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

9%

AVR. ODDS:

3.38

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

74%

AVR. ODDS:

1.86

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

24%

1.76

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

55%

AVR. ODDS:

3.26

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

43%

AVR. ODDS:

1.31

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

HUNGERFORD TOWN VS DARTFORD PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

HUNGERFORD TOWN VS DARTFORD LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Dartford and Hungerford have met 6 times recently since 25/08/18. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Dartford vs Hungerford prediction.
10-Sep-2021 - Dartford [1 : 0] Hungerford
16/01/21 - Dartford [1 : 1] Hungerford
28/11/20 - Hungerford [1 : 2] Dartford
26/08/19 - Hungerford [2 : 2] Dartford
22/12/18 - Dartford [2 : 1] Hungerford
25/08/18 - Hungerford [1 : 0] Dartford

HUNGERFORD TOWN'S LAST 10 MATCHES

HUNGERFORD TOWN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Hungerford Town's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Slough Town drew with Hungerford (2-2) on 02-May-2022
Then Hungerford won against Dulwich (3-1) on 29/01/22
Hemel Hempstead won against Hungerford (1-0) on 25/01/22
Not surprisingly Hungerford won against Chelmsford (2-1) on 22/01/22
Eastbourne won against Hungerford (5-2) on 15/01/22
Tonbridge won against Hungerford (2-1) on 01-Aug-2022
Then Hungerford won against Hampton & Richmond (3-0) on 01-Mar-2022
Hungerford lost to Chippenham (0-3) on 28/12/21
Hungerford lost to Weymouth (0-1) on 18/12/21
In the earliest match listed here Bath lost to Hungerford (0-1) on 12-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

HUNGERFORD TOWN LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Hungerford Town's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Needham Market won against Dartford (1-0) on 02-Dec-2022
Then Havant & Waterloov. lost to Dartford (0-1) on 02-Sep-2022
Dartford won against Welling (4-2) on 02-May-2022
Not surprisingly Dartford won against Ebbsfleet (1-0) on 02-Jan-2022
Tonbridge lost to Dartford (2-3) on 29/01/22
Dartford drew with Concord Rangers (0-0) on 25/01/22
Then Dartford drew with Hampton & Richmond (2-2) on 22/01/22
Dartford won against Weymouth (1-0) on 15/01/22
Dartford drew with Dulwich (1-1) on 01-Aug-2022
In the earliest match listed here Ebbsfleet won against Dartford (1-0) on 01-Feb-2022

HUNGERFORD TOWN POSITION

HUNGERFORD TOWN'S POSITION
Hungerford is in position 10 with 36 points from 24 matches. They are below St Albans who have 37 points and above Hemel Hempstead who have 33 points.
Hungerford Town have scored 43 goals and conceded 37 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 6 goals this season.

DARTFORD POSITION

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