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KESHLA FK vs FK SOCHI NG SUREBET PREDICTION

A detailed Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi NG sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this International Clubs, UEFA Europa Conference Leaguematch on 29-Jul-2021

Keshla Fk

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DATE:

28 July 2021 at 19:00:00

Fk Sochi

COUNTRY:

International Clubs

LEAGUE

UEFA Europa Conference League

TIME:

7:00 PM

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1X2 PREDICTION

HOME WIN:

59%

AVR. ODDS:

4.61

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

DRAW:

23%

AVR. ODDS:

3.91

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

AWAY WIN:

17%

AVR. ODDS:

1.7

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH

Keshla Fk and Fk Sochi might find it hard to score each other in this game. It may be much wiser if you steered clear of a goal-goal prediction and stuck with no-goal (NG prediction). This is informed by the fact that both Keshla Fk and Fk Sochi have good defenses and at least one of them have demonstrated in the recent past weak defense that may see them goal-less by the end of this duel. All 3 major Surebet prediction models have indicated a possible ng in this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match. Poisson prediction model shows there is a 60.37% chance for the outcome while the ELO Ratings model shows a 54.26% chance for the same. Finally, 50.86% of the Monte Carlo simulation runs for this match resulted in ng. This pretty much consolidates the prediction of a ng in this game. 


The odds for Ng outcome on major betting sites are, on average, 1.94 with an implied bookmaker probability of 51.55%. Considering that the surebet probability for the Ng outcome for this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match is 55.16%, then this bet is a value bet. If you play this bet then you you gain expected value by 3.61%The expected value for a NG prediction is denoted as EV(NG) and is calculated by multiplying the amount of stake by the odds and again by the probability of winning then subtracting the result of multiplying the stake and the probability of losing. By using 100 as your sample stake, by calculating the EV as explained, we get the expected value for a NG in this Keshla Fk vs Fk Sochi match is 62.17 which is positive and therefore a good bet.

KESHLA FK vs FK SOCHI NG SUREBET PREDICTION

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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION

GG(BTTS):

45%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

NO GOAL:

AVR. ODDS:

55%

1.94

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 1.5:

40%

AVR. ODDS:

1.16

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 1.5:

28%

AVR. ODDS:

3.53

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 2.5:

47%

AVR. ODDS:

1.77

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 2.5:

AVR. ODDS:

VALUEBET?

53%

1.94

Value Bet

OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION

OVER 3.5:

25%

AVR. ODDS:

3.11

VALUEBET?

Not a Value Bet

UNDER 3.5:

75%

AVR. ODDS:

1.45

VALUEBET?

Value Bet

MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS

KESHLA FK VS FK SOCHI LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES

Curently no head to head

KESHLA FK LAST 10 MATCHES

Below are Keshla Fk's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sochi won against Keshla (3-0) on 22/07/21
Then Keshla won against Sumgayit (2-1) on 24/05/21
Keshla won against Gabala (3-1) on 19/05/21
Not surprisingly Qarabag won against Keshla (2-0) on 14/05/21
Keshla lost to Sumgayit (0-1) on 05-Aug-2021
Zira lost to Keshla (2-3) on 29/04/21
Then Keshla won against Sabayil (1-0) on 25/04/21
Keshla lost to Zira (1-2) on 21/04/21
Keshla drew with Sabah (0-0) on 17/04/21
In the earliest match listed here Zira drew with Keshla (0-0) on 04-Nov-2021

RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM

Below are Fk Sochi's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sochi won against Keshla (3-0) on 22/07/21
Rubin Kazan lost to Sochi (1-3) on 17/07/21
Then Khimki lost to Sochi (2-3) on 14/07/21
Spartak Moscow won against Sochi (4-0) on 07-Nov-2021
Khimki drew with Sochi (0-0) on 16/05/21
Then Sochi won against Volgograd (2-1) on 05-Jul-2021
Krasnodar lost to Sochi (1-3) on 05-Jan-2021
Ufa lost to Sochi (2-3) on 25/04/21
Once more Sochi won against CSKA Moscow (2-1) on 18/04/21
Sochi lost to Saint Petersburg (1-2) on 04-Nov-2021

KESHLA FK'S POSITION

No position listed

FK SOCHI'S POSITION

No position listed

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