MSK ZILINA vs SKF SERED SURE PREDICTION
A detailed Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this Slovakia, Superliga match on 25-Jul-2021
Msk Zilina
DATE:
25 July 2021 at 19:00:00
Skf Sered
COUNTRY:
Slovakia
LEAGUE
Superliga
TIME:
7:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.43
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
4.96
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
27%
AVR. ODDS:
5.95
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 37.76% probability for a Home Win outcome.
The ELO Ratings model came through with a 50.43% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 62.99% chance for a home win outcome. This Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models. Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.43 with an implied bookmaker probability of 69.93%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered match is 50.39%, meaning this bet is not a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -19.54%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.43 where 1.43 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered, EV(Home Win) to be 50.39% * 100 * 1.43, which translates to 22.45.
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This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Msk Zilina vs Skf Sered match, we are well convinced that Msk Zilina is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Skf Sered.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
57%
AVR. ODDS:
1.57
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
43%
2.26
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
0.92
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
20%
AVR. ODDS:
4.91
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
57%
AVR. ODDS:
1.4
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
42%
2.7
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
35%
AVR. ODDS:
2.46
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
65%
AVR. ODDS:
2.01
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
MSK ZILINA VS SKF SERED LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Zilina and Sered have met 6 times recently since 18/05/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Zilina vs Sered prediction.
25/05/21 - Zilina [4 : 2] Sered
12-Dec-2020 - Zilina [0 : 0] Sered
09-Dec-2020 - Sered [3 : 2] Zilina
03-Jul-2020 - Sered [0 : 3] Zilina
10-May-2019 - Zilina [1 : 0] Sered
18/05/19 - Sered [2 : 3] Zilina
MSK ZILINA LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Msk Zilina's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Dila Gori won against Zilina (2-1) on 15/07/21
Then Zilina won against Dila Gori (5-1) on 07-Aug-2021
Rijeka drew with Zilina (2-2) on 30/06/21
Not surprisingly Bravo Ljubljana lost to Zilina (1-3) on 26/06/21
Lokomotiv Moscow won against Zilina (3-2) on 23/06/21
Zilina won against Zlate Moravce (3-2) on 28/05/21
Then Zilina won against Sered (4-2) on 25/05/21
Zilina won against Zlate Moravce (5-1) on 22/05/21
Slovan Bratislava won against Zilina (2-1) on 19/05/21
In the earliest match listed here Trnava drew with Zilina (1-1) on 16/05/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Skf Sered's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Sered won against Podbrezova (1-0) on 07-Oct-2021
Budapest Honved drew with Sered (1-1) on 07-Jul-2021
Then Olomouc won against Sered (2-1) on 07-Mar-2021
Dinamo Zagreb won against Sered (3-0) on 24/06/21
Zilina won against Sered (4-2) on 25/05/21
Then Sered won against Senica (4-1) on 22/05/21
Michalovce drew with Sered (2-2) on 15/05/21
Nitra lost to Sered (0-1) on 05-Sep-2021
Once more Sered lost to Ziar Nad Hronom (0-1) on 05-Jan-2021
Ruzomberok won against Sered (2-1) on 24/04/21
MSK ZILINA'S POSITION
No position listed
SKF SERED'S POSITION
No position listed
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