NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION vs DC UNITED SURE PREDICTION
A detailed New England Revolution vs Dc United sure prediction with expert opinion, H2H matches, statistical analysis for this USA, Major League Soccer match on 19-Aug-2021
New England Revolution
DATE:
18 August 2021 at 02:00:00
Dc United
COUNTRY:
USA
LEAGUE
Major League Soccer
TIME:
2:00 AM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
49%
AVR. ODDS:
1.63
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
26%
AVR. ODDS:
3.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
5.62
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this New England Revolution vs Dc United match is calculated as follows: Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet.
See tickets:
Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 1.63 where 1.63 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for New England Revolution vs Dc United, EV(Home Win) to be 48.58% * 100 * 1.63, which translates to 27.76. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same. The odds for this outcome are averagely 1.63 with an implied bookmaker probability of 61.35%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this New England Revolution vs Dc United match is 48.58%, meaning this bet is not a value bet.
In case you place this bet, you may be about to lose expected value by -12.77%We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this New England Revolution vs Dc United match. The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 47.00% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 48.57% probability for the same outccome.
The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 50.17% chance for a home win outcome. This New England Revolution vs Dc United match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this New England Revolution vs Dc United match, we are well convinced that New England Revolution is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Dc United.
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
50%
AVR. ODDS:
1.81
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
50%
1.9
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.16
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
28%
AVR. ODDS:
3.53
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
46%
AVR. ODDS:
1.77
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
54%
1.94
Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
25%
AVR. ODDS:
3.11
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
75%
AVR. ODDS:
1.45
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION VS DC UNITED LATEST HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
New England and Dc United have met 6 times recently since 13/07/19. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the New England vs Dc United prediction.
25/04/21 - New England [1 : 0] DC United
11-Feb-2020 - New England [4 : 3] DC United
28/09/20 - DC United [0 : 2] New England
26/08/20 - DC United [1 : 2] New England
18/07/20 - DC United [1 : 1] New England
13/07/19 - DC United [2 : 2] New England
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are New England Revolution's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Toronto lost to New England (1-2) on 15/08/21
Then New England won against Philadelphia (2-1) on 08-Sep-2021
New England drew with Nashville (0-0) on 08-May-2021
Not surprisingly New York lost to New England (2-3) on 08-Jan-2021
New England won against Montreal (2-1) on 26/07/21
Miami lost to New England (0-5) on 22/07/21
Then Atlanta lost to New England (0-1) on 18/07/21
New England lost to Toronto (2-3) on 07-Aug-2021
Columbus drew with New England (2-2) on 07-Apr-2021
In the earliest match listed here Dallas won against New England (2-1) on 28/06/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Dc United's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Nashville won against DC United (5-2) on 16/08/21
DC United won against Montreal (2-1) on 08-Sep-2021
Then Columbus lost to DC United (2-4) on 08-May-2021
Cincinnati drew with DC United (0-0) on 08-Jan-2021
DC United won against New York (1-0) on 26/07/21
Then Chicago drew with DC United (2-2) on 22/07/21
Philadelphia won against DC United (2-1) on 18/07/21
DC United won against Alianza San Salvador (1-0) on 15/07/21
Once more DC United won against Toronto (7-1) on 07-Apr-2021
New York City won against DC United (2-1) on 28/06/21
NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION'S POSITION
20 is in position 1 with points from 13 matches. They are below who have points and above 18 who have points.
have scored 23 goals and conceded 14 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 43 goals this season.
DC UNITED'S POSITION
19 is in position 6 with points from 8 matches. They are below 19 who have points and above 19 who have points.
Dc United have scored 26 goals and conceded 3 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of 27 goals this season.
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