Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer prediction - 1X2
Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer prediction. This detailed prediction accompanies over 3 betting tips for the match. Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer are playing on 04-Dec-21
Stenhousemuir
DATE:
4 December 2021 at 18:00:00
Stranraer
COUNTRY:
Scotland
LEAGUE
League Two
TIME:
6:00 PM
1X2 PREDICTION
HOME WIN:
39%
AVR. ODDS:
2.19
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
DRAW:
23%
AVR. ODDS:
3.39
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
AWAY WIN:
37%
AVR. ODDS:
3.05
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
EXPERT TIPS FOR THIS MATCH
After analysing all the data and compiling and comparing expert opinions on this Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer match, we are well convinced that Stenhousemuir is in better form, better motivated and has proven in the past their ability to dominate this game against Stranraer.
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Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer prediction - 1X2
The surebet prediction for this game is therefore a home win. Note that there might be even better tips you can bet on today if you can be bold enough to subscribe for VIP tips. Besides, you might want to check out the GG/NG tips given their ability to increase betting profits for many punters. We used the 3 main prediction models to find the validity of a home win in this Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer match.
The Monte Carlo simulation prediction model indicated a 41.87% probability for a Home Win outcome. The ELO Ratings model came through with a 39.03% probability for the same outccome. The third model, Poisson probabilites prediction model showed there's a 35.25% chance for a home win outcome. This Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer match has a few other bets that have been validated by all the 3 models.
Keep reading to find them all. To find if the Home Win bet is a value bet, we need to compare the implied Home Win bookmaker probability with calculated and validated Surebet probability for the same.
The odds for this outcome are averagely 3.29 with an implied bookmaker probability of 30.40%. The calculated Surebet probability for the Home Win outcome for this Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer match is 38.72%, meaning this bet is a value bet. In case you place this bet, you may gain expected value by 8.32%Expected Value, EV(Home Win), for a Home Win result for this Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer match is calculated as follows:
Let P(Home Win) be the probability of winning this bet, P(0) be the probability of losing this bet. Also assuming that your stake is 100 then the Expected value is; P(Home Win) * 100* 3.29 where 3.29 are the decimal odds for this outcome. Using this formula then you should get the expected value for a Home Win for Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer, EV(Home Win) to be 38.72% * 100 * 3.29, which translates to 66.08. This is a positive Expected Value thus further vaidating this bet mathematically.
Given the historical results of these teams, it is most likely that at least 2 goals will be scored in this match. Regardless of the low odds, I bet you might want to form a multi bet with this over 1.5 Prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Stranraer.
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GG/NG(BTTS) PREDICTION
GG(BTTS):
64%
AVR. ODDS:
1.66
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
NO GOAL:
AVR. ODDS:
35%
2.09
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 1.5:
40%
AVR. ODDS:
1.2
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
UNDER 1.5:
17%
AVR. ODDS:
3.27
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 2.5:
62%
AVR. ODDS:
1.8
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 2.5:
AVR. ODDS:
VALUEBET?
37%
1.76
Not a Value Bet
OVER/UNDER 3.5 GOALS PREDICTION
OVER 3.5:
41%
AVR. ODDS:
3.16
VALUEBET?
Value Bet
UNDER 3.5:
58%
AVR. ODDS:
1.31
VALUEBET?
Not a Value Bet
MATCH STATISTICS AND ANALYSIS
STENHOUSEMUIR VS STRANRAER PREDICTION HEAD TO HEAD MATCHES
Stranraer and Stenhousemuir have met 6 times recently since 11-Mar-2018. Below is a breakdown of those matches and the results. Note that these matches will play a big role in the Stranraer vs Stenhousemuir prediction.
18/09/21 - Stranraer [2 : 0] Stenhousemuir
15/04/21 - Stranraer [4 : 0] Stenhousemuir
12-Dec-2020 - Stenhousemuir [2 : 2] Stranraer
16/03/19 - Stenhousemuir [0 : 1] Stranraer
26/02/19 - Stranraer [1 : 1] Stenhousemuir
11-Mar-2018 - Stenhousemuir [0 : 2] Stranraer
STENHOUSEMUIR'S LAST 10 MATCHES
Below are Stenhousemuir's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Stenhousemuir lost to Airdrieonians (0-2) on 27/11/21
Then Kelty Hearts won against Stenhousemuir (2-0) on 20/11/21
Stenhousemuir won against Annan (2-0) on 13/11/21
Not surprisingly Stenhousemuir won against Albion Rovers (3-1) on 11-Sep-2021
Stirling lost to Stenhousemuir (1-3) on 11-Jun-2021
Stenhousemuir won against Huntly (4-1) on 23/10/21
Then Cowdenbeath lost to Stenhousemuir (0-2) on 16/10/21
Stenhousemuir drew with Forfar (1-1) on 10-Feb-2021
Stenhousemuir lost to Elgin City (1-2) on 25/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Stranraer won against Stenhousemuir (2-0) on 18/09/21
RECENT MATCHES - AWAY TEAM
Below are Stenhousemuir's last 10 matches whose results will be part of the data needed for this game's sure bet prediction:
Stranraer won against Elgin City (1-0) on 20/11/21
Then Edinburgh City won against Stranraer (3-1) on 11-Dec-2021
Annan drew with Stranraer (2-2) on 11-Jun-2021
Not surprisingly Stranraer lost to Forfar (2-3) on 30/10/21
Stranraer lost to Darvel FC (0-1) on 23/10/21
Stirling drew with Stranraer (1-1) on 16/10/21
Then Stranraer won against Albion Rovers (1-0) on 10-Feb-2021
Kelty Hearts won against Stranraer (1-0) on 25/09/21
Stranraer won against Stenhousemuir (2-0) on 18/09/21
In the earliest match listed here Stranraer lost to Edinburgh City (0-1) on 09-Nov-2021
STENHOUSEMUIR POSITION
Stenhousemuir is in position 6 with 18 points from 14 matches. They are below Annan who have 20 points and above Albion Rovers who have 17 points.
Stenhousemuir have scored 18 goals and conceded 19 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -1 goals this season.
STRANRAER POSITION
Stranraer is in position 8 with 16 points from 14 matches. They are below Albion Rovers who have 17 points and above Elgin City who have 13 points.
Stranraer have scored 14 goals and conceded 20 goals thereby accumulating a goal difference of -6 goals this season.
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